LONDON/FRANKFURT, May 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury
has warned Austria's Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI) that
its access to the U.S. financial system could be restricted
because of its Russian dealings, according to a person who has
seen a letter detailing the threat.
The May 6 letter is the strongest warning yet to the biggest
Western bank in Russia and follows months of pressure from
Washington, and Europe, as they try to toughen up sanctions
against Russia and further squeeze it financially.
RBI this month abandoned a $1.5 billion deal
linked with a sanctioned Russian tycoon that the U.S. opposed.
But the bank's ties to Russia run much deeper. Restrictions on
its access to the dollar system would have potentially deeply
damaging consequences.
WHY IS THE U.S. CONCERNED?
After Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in
February 2022, the U.S. responded with wide-ranging sanctions on
Russia and its companies. Many Western companies, including
banks, made a rush to exit.
But several Western banks with a big presence in Russia
including RBI and Italy's UniCredit have remained.
Both have been in Russia since the collapse of the Soviet Union
more than three decades ago.
RBI's reluctance to pull back has increasingly frustrated
U.S. officials aware that their sanctions have not been as
effective as hoped. Sanctions enforcement agency OFAC launched
an inquiry into RBI at the start of 2023.
The bank has been delaying plans to leave Russia.
To unlock funds frozen in Russia, RBI had planned to buy a
stake in construction group Strabag from a company the
Vienna-based group identified as being controlled by Russian
tycoon Oleg Deripaska.
The move was opposed by the U.S. Treasury because Deripaska
is sanctioned.
After repeated U.S. warnings not to proceed, this month the
bank dropped the bid.
The European Central Bank is also stepping up pressure on
RBI, and is expected to tell it to reduce business in Russia.
Remaining in Russia has proven very profitable for banks, a
disincentive to exit.
WHAT DOES RBI SAY?
An RBI spokesperson said on Wednesday the bank had
significantly reduced activities in Russia and was working
towards "de-consolidation" of its subsidiary there.
Banks including RBI also say that exiting Russia is a
complicated process, and that they cannot just sell up.
For an international bank to spin off local operations, it
would require the approval of Russia's central bank, finance
ministry and even Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Russian authorities last year made it clear to RBI, which
has around 4 million local account holders and 10,000 staff,
that they wish it to stay because it enables international
payments, one source previously told Reuters.
U.S. sanctions denied Russian banks access to the SWIFT
global payment system. That has made lenders like RBI a payment
lifeline to hundreds of Russian companies.
RBI has also received support from Austria, where officials
have pushed back against pressure on the bank.
Austria and Russia maintain close ties going back decades
and Vienna has long acted as a hub for cash from Russia and its
former Soviet neighbours.
WHAT COULD THE U.S. DO?
In short, a lot.
The dollar is the cornerstone of international finance and
the United States is the world's most powerful regulator chiefly
because it can end a bank's access to the currency.
In its letter to RBI, Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally
Adeyemo made reference to President Joe Biden's executive order
authorising U.S. secondary sanctions on foreign financial
institutions that conduct significant transactions involving
Russia's military-industrial base.
Losing access to the dollar would be likely to plunge any
bank into a crisis.
Richard Portes, a professor of economics at the London
Business School who has studied sanctions, said curbing RBI's
access would be "hugely damaging".
Critics of sanctions say that the U.S. is accelerating the
use of alternatives to the dollar, such as the Chinese buying
Russian oil with payments in yuan.
Yet the dollar remains the pre-eminent currency for
international trade and is the dominant reserve currency - a
status likely to endure, analysts say.
WILL THE TREASURY DO IT?
Washington has so far held back from using the new executive
order to sanction foreign financial institutions.
Secondary sanctions target foreign people or companies doing
business with those already under U.S. sanctions.
Washington's threat to hit foreign financial institutions
with sanctions has made a significant difference in financial
flows between Russia and countries such as Turkey, the United
Arab Emirates, and Kazakhstan, Adeyemo said in February.
HAS THE U.S. CURBED DOLLAR ACCESS BEFORE?
Curbing a Western bank's access to the dollar system is
extremely rare.
French bank BNP Paribas in 2014 was banned for a year from
conducting certain dollar transactions as part of a settlement
to resolve accusations it contravened U.S. sanctions against
Sudan, Cuba and Iran.
In 2018, the U.S. accused Latvia's third-biggest bank, ABLV,
of money laundering and breaching sanctions on North Korea. This
effectively froze the banks out of dollar financial markets and
triggered its closure.