Feb 21 (Reuters) - The price of eggs at U.S. grocery
stores has climbed to a record high, nearly doubling from a year
ago, as outbreaks of bird flu have led to shortages by wiping
out millions of hens.
Eggs are missing from grocery shelves nationwide, and
shoppers able to snag a dozen are facing sticker shock for the
breakfast staple.
"A simple egg sandwich is like a luxury," said Jon Harris,
who was shopping for eggs at a supermarket in Chicago on
Thursday.
Since November, a surge of infections of the lethal flu in Iowa
and Ohio, the two biggest egg-producing states, has fueled the
shortage. As a result, egg producers are charging more to
wholesalers, retailers are limiting how much shoppers can buy
and restaurant menu prices are up. The U.S. is importing tons of
eggs from Turkey to bolster supplies.
WHY ARE CHICKENS KILLED?
The U.S. Department of Agriculture culls any flocks with poultry
that test positive to contain outbreaks. The policy has
devastated massive commercial farms, including one that culled
4.2 million laying hens in Sioux County, Iowa, in December.
Losses of flocks created a supply shock that has left fewer eggs
available for shoppers, restaurants and food companies that make
products containing eggs. It takes months for farms to return to
full production after an outbreak because they need to dispose
of dead chickens, clean infected barns and bring in new birds to
lay eggs.
HOW MANY BIRDS HAVE DIED?
About 163 million chickens, turkeys and other birds have
died from the virus or been culled to contain its spread since
the U.S. outbreak in poultry began in 2022, according to the
USDA.
And the pace of spread among egg-laying chickens has been
picking up, USDA data show. In January, 19.5 million egg-laying
chickens were killed, the most of any month in the outbreak
since March 2022.
With a population of about 340 million people, the U.S. has
traditionally maintained about one laying hen per person to meet
consumer demand, experts said.
As of Jan. 1, the country had 304 million laying hens
producing table eggs, down 2% from a year earlier and 11% from
five years ago, according to USDA data.
HOW HIGH ARE PRICES?
Average retail prices in January reached a record $4.95 per
dozen, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. That was up 96% from
a year earlier and 239% from five years ago.
Consumers have faced ever bigger sticker shock, with prices
climbing to $8 or even $10 per dozen in major cities like
Chicago.
Wholesale prices have also set records, benefiting farmers who
manage to avoid outbreaks and are not locked in to long-term
pricing arrangements.
The increase imperils U.S. President Donald Trump's pledge
to lower grocery bills as rising prices have contributed to
inflation. Egg prices accounted for roughly two-thirds of the
total increase in food costs last month, according to the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics.
WHAT GOES INTO THE COST OF AN EGG?
About 60% to 70% of the cost of producing an egg comes from
the grain fed to hens, said Errol Schweizer, who was vice
president of Whole Foods' grocery division between 2009 and
2016.
Eggs from hens raised on open pastures carry additional
costs, he said, as the birds have more space than those confined
to cages in barns.
Additional costs come from logistics and transportation.
Then, retail markups are usually 20% to 30% higher than the
wholesale price, though bird flu may change that dynamic,
Schweizer said.
"Some retailers are not taking full markups and may be
selling eggs at cost, while others may be taking higher markups
to take advantage of the crisis," he said.
HOW WILL OUTBREAKS END?
Egg farmers are urging the USDA to approve the use of a vaccine
to protect laying hens from the virus. The agency has resisted
vaccines in the past over concerns that their use will disrupt
U.S. exports of poultry products, including chicken meat, to
importers who want to avoid buying from suppliers with
outbreaks.
"It sure seems to me that we're going to have to start using
vaccines if we want to start putting this fire out," said
Gregory Gray, a University of Texas Medical Branch professor.
The USDA has said it is rebuilding a stockpile of vaccines and
granted a conditional license to animal-health company Zoetis ( ZTS )
for one suited for laying hens. It could take a year for
vaccines to be administered and become highly effective, if they
are approved, said Heather Jones, founder of Heather Jones
Research, which focuses on agriculture and meat companies.
In France, producers have said that a bird flu vaccination
campaign launched in 2023 has helped restore production to
levels not seen since the virus began to wipe out tens of
millions of birds.