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EXPLAINER-How bird flu has sent US eggs prices skyrocketing
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EXPLAINER-How bird flu has sent US eggs prices skyrocketing
Feb 21, 2025 10:57 AM

Feb 21 (Reuters) - The price of eggs at U.S. grocery

stores has climbed to a record high, nearly doubling from a year

ago, as outbreaks of bird flu have led to shortages by wiping

out millions of hens.

Eggs are missing from grocery shelves nationwide, and

shoppers able to snag a dozen are facing sticker shock for the

breakfast staple.

"A simple egg sandwich is like a luxury," said Jon Harris,

who was shopping for eggs at a supermarket in Chicago on

Thursday.

Since November, a surge of infections of the lethal flu in Iowa

and Ohio, the two biggest egg-producing states, has fueled the

shortage. As a result, egg producers are charging more to

wholesalers, retailers are limiting how much shoppers can buy

and restaurant menu prices are up. The U.S. is importing tons of

eggs from Turkey to bolster supplies.

WHY ARE CHICKENS KILLED?

The U.S. Department of Agriculture culls any flocks with poultry

that test positive to contain outbreaks. The policy has

devastated massive commercial farms, including one that culled

4.2 million laying hens in Sioux County, Iowa, in December.

Losses of flocks created a supply shock that has left fewer eggs

available for shoppers, restaurants and food companies that make

products containing eggs. It takes months for farms to return to

full production after an outbreak because they need to dispose

of dead chickens, clean infected barns and bring in new birds to

lay eggs.

HOW MANY BIRDS HAVE DIED?

About 163 million chickens, turkeys and other birds have

died from the virus or been culled to contain its spread since

the U.S. outbreak in poultry began in 2022, according to the

USDA.

And the pace of spread among egg-laying chickens has been

picking up, USDA data show. In January, 19.5 million egg-laying

chickens were killed, the most of any month in the outbreak

since March 2022.

With a population of about 340 million people, the U.S. has

traditionally maintained about one laying hen per person to meet

consumer demand, experts said.

As of Jan. 1, the country had 304 million laying hens

producing table eggs, down 2% from a year earlier and 11% from

five years ago, according to USDA data.

HOW HIGH ARE PRICES?

Average retail prices in January reached a record $4.95 per

dozen, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. That was up 96% from

a year earlier and 239% from five years ago.

Consumers have faced ever bigger sticker shock, with prices

climbing to $8 or even $10 per dozen in major cities like

Chicago.

Wholesale prices have also set records, benefiting farmers who

manage to avoid outbreaks and are not locked in to long-term

pricing arrangements.

The increase imperils U.S. President Donald Trump's pledge

to lower grocery bills as rising prices have contributed to

inflation. Egg prices accounted for roughly two-thirds of the

total increase in food costs last month, according to the U.S.

Bureau of Labor Statistics.

WHAT GOES INTO THE COST OF AN EGG?

About 60% to 70% of the cost of producing an egg comes from

the grain fed to hens, said Errol Schweizer, who was vice

president of Whole Foods' grocery division between 2009 and

2016.

Eggs from hens raised on open pastures carry additional

costs, he said, as the birds have more space than those confined

to cages in barns.

Additional costs come from logistics and transportation.

Then, retail markups are usually 20% to 30% higher than the

wholesale price, though bird flu may change that dynamic,

Schweizer said.

"Some retailers are not taking full markups and may be

selling eggs at cost, while others may be taking higher markups

to take advantage of the crisis," he said.

HOW WILL OUTBREAKS END?

Egg farmers are urging the USDA to approve the use of a vaccine

to protect laying hens from the virus. The agency has resisted

vaccines in the past over concerns that their use will disrupt

U.S. exports of poultry products, including chicken meat, to

importers who want to avoid buying from suppliers with

outbreaks.

"It sure seems to me that we're going to have to start using

vaccines if we want to start putting this fire out," said

Gregory Gray, a University of Texas Medical Branch professor.

The USDA has said it is rebuilding a stockpile of vaccines and

granted a conditional license to animal-health company Zoetis ( ZTS )

for one suited for laying hens. It could take a year for

vaccines to be administered and become highly effective, if they

are approved, said Heather Jones, founder of Heather Jones

Research, which focuses on agriculture and meat companies.

In France, producers have said that a bird flu vaccination

campaign launched in 2023 has helped restore production to

levels not seen since the virus began to wipe out tens of

millions of birds.

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