Jan 31 (Reuters) - Tariffs have been top-of-mind for
corporate executives in the early days of this quarter's
earnings season as U.S. President Donald Trump threatens to hit
allies Mexico and Canada with levies on imported goods.
Those tariffs are expected to now begin on March 1, with an
announcement on Saturday, but it is possible Trump will back off
those threats or target only specific industries.
How companies navigate the issue is a key topic on
conference calls and at investor events this quarter. Nearly 200
companies that are part of the S&P 1500 - large, mid- and
small-cap stocks - have mentioned either "nearshoring,"
"tariffs," or "supply chain" through the month of January.
So far, many CEOs' remarks are similar to those of Textron ( TXT )
CEO Scott Donnelly, who said on Jan. 22 that "we're just
going to kind of hang in there and see how it plays out."
Here are some of the aspects trade executives are
discussing:
PRODUCTION LOGISTICS
Several companies over recent weeks have discussed the
challenges of moving production around. Some companies
manufacture in the United States as well as Mexico or Canada,
and may be hit by tariffs if they import components that cannot
be relocated to the U.S.
"We have available capacity in our domestic operations to
shift production as needed to minimize those tariff impacts if
they were to occur," said Brent Yeagy, CEO of transportation
logistics company Wabash National ( WNC ).
Power sports vehicle manufacturer Polaris spoke
about this on its earnings call, noting how in 2017 it moved
swiftly to get out of China, and now faces potential tariffs due
to production facilities in Mexico. In addition, it is also
dealing with higher labor costs for its U.S. operations.
"Relative to the rest of the power sports industry up and to
this point, we have been incredibly disadvantaged," Michael
Speetzen, CEO of Polaris, said on a conference call to discuss
earnings on Jan. 28. "We're the only U.S. manufacturer yet we're
the only ones paying tariffs."
MOVING SHIPMENTS AROUND
Some companies have suggested they will consider shifting
around where they send their shipments. Large global firms with
operations in numerous companies may be able to adjust shipments
from one spot to another.
For instance, Alcoa ( AA ) CEO William Oplinger said on Jan.
22 that imports would probably increase from countries with
lower duties in the Middle East and India, while Canadian
aluminum could be rerouted to Europe and other countries. That
is because a 25% tariff on Canadian aluminum exports to the
United States could "represent $1.5 billion to $2 billion of
additional annual cost for U.S. customers," he said.
ACCELERATED SALES
Numerous companies already said they were seeing customers
boost orders ahead of tariffs, both in the last quarter and
current quarter. Automakers like General Motors ( GM )
accelerated deliveries to get ahead of tariffs.
Some companies are anticipating Trump may announce a gradual
acceleration of tariffs - which could then spur pre-emptive
purchases. "I do not see heightened pre-buy activity on
products. I think most are taking the stance that if or when
they occur, there'll be some notice period to do that," said
Neil Schrimsher, CEO of Applied Industrial Technologies ( AIT )
.
INFLATION AND PRICING
Numerous executives have said that tariffs would inevitably
be passed on to consumers. Eric Cremers, CEO of forest products
company PotlatchDeltic ( PCH ), commented on the company's
earnings call that he was aware of a Canadian lumber producer
that would try to pass along 100% of tariff costs to its
customers. "Now will they be able to get all that 100% of
whatever the duty is or not? Who knows what will ultimately wind
up happening, but their plan is to pass that along to
consumers."