financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Exxon, Chevron profits to drop to lowest point since pandemic, analysts say
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Exxon, Chevron profits to drop to lowest point since pandemic, analysts say
Jul 31, 2025 9:15 AM

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Top U.S. oil producers Exxon Mobil and Chevron are expected to report their lowest earnings in four years when they release second-quarter results on Friday, as weaker oil and gas prices slashed revenue.

The April-June quarter covered a volatile period in which the OPEC+ group of producers continued raising their production volumes, putting pressure on crude prices and in turn cutting the profits of oil firms. Oscillating tariff policy from U.S. President Donald Trump's administration also added to fears about weakening economies and oil demand. 

Global benchmark Brent crude prices declined 11% during the quarter from the previous three months, while U.S. natural gas futures declined 9%. 

While investors had previously been watching whether producers would cut spending in response to lower prices, the market is now likely to focus more on company-specific results and commentary about the macroeconomic environment, said Jeoffrey Lambujon, an analyst with TPH Energy Research, in a note last week. 

Exxon, the top U.S. oil producer, is expected to post $6.67 billion in adjusted earnings for the second quarter, or $1.56 per share, according to the consensus analyst estimates compiled by LSEG. 

That would be a 27% drop from the year-ago quarter and the lowest earnings since 2021, after the COVID-19 pandemic sank global demand. 

The company had signaled earlier this month that lower oil and gas prices could cut about $1.5 billion from its earnings compared with the first quarter.

One bright spot is improved refining margins, which Exxon said could help boost second-quarter earnings by about $300 million, but refining is a smaller portion of its business compared with oil and gas production.  

The company has several projects slated for start-up in the second half of the year that should drive stronger earnings, said Jason Gabelman, an analyst with TD Cowen in a July 10 research note. 

These include Yellowtail, a fourth floating production, storage and offloading vessel in the prolific Stabroek Block in Guyana, the lucrative oil hotspot where profits soared 64% last year. 

Wall Street expects Chevron, the No.2 U.S. oil producer, to report $3 billion in adjusted earnings, or $1.70 per share, down 33% from the same period a year ago and also the lowest in four years.

Chevron closed its acquisition of smaller oil producer Hess on July 18 after triumphing in a legal challenge from Exxon that delayed the deal close by over a year.

Chevron said the deal will lead to $1 billion in cost synergies by the end of the year. It will provide updated financial guidance for the combined company during its investor day in November. 

The company could report about 1% lower production volumes compared with the first quarter following a well blowout in Colorado, and a two-week production shutdown at the Leviathan gas field in Israel during the country's conflict with Iran, said Barclays analysts in a July 13 note. 

French oil major TotalEnergies last week reported its lowest profit in four years as higher production was not enough to make up for lower oil prices.

On Thursday, British oil major Shell reported a profit that tumbled by almost a third. Rival BP will release results next week.  

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Oil eases on possible Gaza ceasefire, dollar strength
Oil eases on possible Gaza ceasefire, dollar strength
Mar 21, 2024
SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Oil prices slipped on Friday on the possibility of a nearing Gaza ceasefire that could ease geopolitical concerns in the Middle East, while a stronger dollar and faltering U.S. gasoline demand also weighed on prices. Brent crude futures fell 42 cents, or 0.5%, to $85.36 a barrel by 0203 GMT. U.S. crude futures shed 40 cents, or 0.5%,...
Ecopetrol's Reficar refinery awarded nearly 20% of McDermott common capital, company says
Ecopetrol's Reficar refinery awarded nearly 20% of McDermott common capital, company says
Mar 21, 2024
BOGOTA, March 21 (Reuters) - The Reficar oil refinery belonging to Colombia's Ecopetrol was awarded 19.9% of the common capital in infrastructure firm McDermott in preferential shares by a judge in Amsterdam, Ecopetrol said in a statement on Thursday. The refinery is located in the Colombian city of Cartagena. ...
Hong Kong-listed Samsonite plans dual listing in hunt for investors
Hong Kong-listed Samsonite plans dual listing in hunt for investors
Mar 21, 2024
(Reuters) -Luggage maker Samsonite International ( SMSOF ) on Friday said it plans to pursue a dual listing in addition to its listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to increase the liquidity of its shares and reach investors in more markets. Samsonite ( SMSOF ) did not provide details of the exchanges it is considering for the second listing,...
Meta's Instagram down for thousands, Downdetector shows
Meta's Instagram down for thousands, Downdetector shows
Mar 21, 2024
March 21 (Reuters) - Meta Platforms's ( META ) Instagram was down for thousands of users on Thursday, according to outage tracking website Downdetector.com. ...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved