HOUSTON, March 2 (Reuters) - Exxon Mobil ( XOM ),
TotalEnergies and Shell are among the
companies with more exposure to disruptions in oil and gas
production due to the U.S.-Israel war with Iran, analysts said
in research notes on Sunday and Monday.
The U.S. and Israel's strikes on Iran on Saturday, which
killed Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, have roiled
the energy sector.
The conflict has forced the shutdown of some oil and gas fields
in the region and effectively halted shipping through the Strait
of Hormuz, an important waterway between Iran and Oman through
which tankers carrying crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas
from major Middle Eastern producers and refiners must travel on
their way to buyers.
Analysts at Jefferies estimate 29% of French oil major
TotalEnergies' total production is in the Middle East while the
region accounts for 20% of Exxon's oil and gas output and 20%
for Shell.
Even as the war threatens some production, it has caused a surge
in oil and gas prices that could help prop up the companies'
profits. Brent crude futures settled up about 7% on
Monday at $77.74 per barrel, while the European natural gas
benchmark jumped about 40%.
One of the most significant impacts could be to Exxon's
liquefied natural gas portfolio. Nearly 60% of the U.S. oil
major's LNG business is concentrated in the Middle East, TD
Cowen said.
Exxon declined to comment on its operations in the region,
while Shell and TotalEnergies did not immediately respond to
requests for comment.
The three companies are all partners of Qatar's state-owned
energy firm QatarEnergy, which halted LNG production on Monday
following Iranian drone attacks on its facilities. The country
accounts for about 20% of global LNG supply.
Exxon will eventually benefit from the startup of Golden
Pass LNG, its project in Texas that is expected to begin
production this month, noted Betty Jiang, an analyst from
Barclays.
In addition to LNG stakes in the Middle East, TotalEnergies
produces oil and gas in the UAE and Shell has a
significant presence in Oman.