May 31 (Reuters) - Fitch Ratings lowered its 2024
forecasts for Boeing's ( BA ) aircraft delivery and free cash
flow on Friday as the planemaker grapples with investigations
and slumping production of its strongest-selling jet.
"The delivery forecasts were affected by the Civil Aviation
Administration of China's (CAAC) decision to restrict certain
aircraft model deliveries to Chinese customers while it requests
additional documentation regarding voice recorder and battery
information," Fitch said.
The forecast revision also reflects the U.S. Federal
Aviation Administration's decision to maintain oversight within
Boeing's ( BA ) factories while individually certifying newly produced
aircraft.
Boeing ( BA ) currently has a BBB-minus rating, one level above
"junk" status, with a negative credit rating outlook from
multiple agencies as output of its 737 MAX slipped into the
single digits at times this spring. The U.S. planemaker said
earlier this month it would burn cash rather than generate cash.
Fitch and other agencies do not currently expect these
latest adjustments to result in rating changes.
Jonathan Root, senior vice president, Moody's Ratings,
said on Friday that Boeing's ( BA ) recent comment about negative free
cash flow was unexpected.
"This is another example of ongoing negative surprise
from Boeing ( BA ) while it rehabilitates its commercial airplanes
business," Root told Reuters.
However, he said Boeing's ( BA ) bolstering of liquidity after
a $10 billion May debt issue currently mitigates "potential
ratings pressure."
Nick Varone, a senior director at Fitch, told Reuters
that the possibility of Boeing's ( BA ) burning free cash for 2024 was
generally incorporated into the agency's negative outlook.
Varone cited a return in 737 MAX production rate to
around 38 a month, or inventory reduction as things Fitch is
looking for to get back to a stable outlook.
The rating agency forecasts from 350 to 370 737 MAX
deliveries and about 65-70 787 deliveries in 2024, below
previous expectations of about 400 and 75, respectively.