LONDON, Sept 5 (Reuters) - Fitch has changed its outlook
on global reinsurers to neutral from improving, adding on
Thursday it expected the sector to remain strong but that prices
had probably passed their peak.
Reinsurers, which insure insurers, have raised their rates
in recent years in response to losses from the COVID-19
pandemic, wars and natural catastrophes. Industry sources,
however, have mixed views on whether prices will keep rising.
"We expect balance sheet strength and financial performance
to remain resilient in 2025, but further improvement is less
likely," Fitch analyst Manuel Arrive told a media briefing.
There was likely to be a "moderate softening" in property
catastrophe reinsurance rates at the key Jan. 1 renewal date for
reinsurers, Arrive said, adding that risks from large natural
catastrophes such as hurricanes remained.
"If there is a high magnitude event, rates could harden
again," Arrive said.
Insurance ratings agency AM Best said this week it expected
"hard" - or high - reinsurance pricing conditions to last longer
than in previous cycles.
Meanwhile, Lloyd's of London chairman Bruce
Carnegie-Brown told Reuters that commercial insurance rates may
not be falling yet.
Tracy Hatlestad, head of property reinsurance at broker Aon
, however, told a webinar that she expected property
reinsurance prices to soften.
S&P Global this week retained its stable outlook for
reinsurers, while Moody's raised its outlook to positive from
stable.
Reinsurers meet for their annual conference in Monte Carlo
next week to hammer out January pricing deals with insurers.