*
Novo Nordisk losing ground to Eli Lilly ( LLY ) in obesity drug
race
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CagriSema trial data wiped $125 billion off Novo shares
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Investors frustrated at silence from company after data
release
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Novo may disclose more info from trial at Q4 results on
Feb. 5
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CagriSema trial participants say drug effective,
side-effects
difficult
By Maggie Fick and Robin Respaut
LONDON/SAN FRANCISCO, Feb 4 (Reuters) - Novo Nordisk
is under pressure from investors for more information
about its next-generation obesity drug candidate CagriSema amid
a lack of clarity over trial results that hammered its shares in
December.
Novo believes CagriSema could be more powerful than its
blockbuster weight-loss injection Wegovy, but investors are
worried whether it will be good enough to retake the lead from
rival Eli Lilly ( LLY ) in the competitive obesity drug market.
In interviews with Reuters, five patients who participated
in the trial that reported in December - or are part of a
separate late-stage study - said the weekly injection helped
them shed pounds quickly, but that they encountered what they
characterised as significant side-effects including nausea,
constipation and fatigue.
In its December read-out, Novo said the most common adverse
events in the trial were gastrointestinal and the vast majority
were mild to moderate and diminished over time, consistent with
CagriSema's broader class of GLP-1 receptor agonist drugs.
Novo declined to comment for this story as it is in the
regulatory quiet period ahead of quarterly results on Wednesday.
While anecdotal, the interviews with the five patients shed
some light on the experiences of those taking CagriSema and
could hint at answers to questions sparked by the data about
potential side-effects and the dosing regimen.
Weaker than expected data from the trial was a blow to
Novo's ambitions to find a more powerful competitor to Lilly's
Zepbound, also known as Mounjaro.
CagriSema combines semaglutide, the active ingredient in
Wegovy that mimics gut hormone GLP-1, with a separate molecule
called cagrilintide that mimics pancreatic hormone amylin.
One participant in the trial that reported in December said
she repeatedly fainted during her first six months on CagriSema.
Over the 68-week trial, she lost 29% of her body weight.
"I guess it's quite normal to feel awful when you lose 30 to
40 kilograms in the span of six months," said Jane, who asked to
be identified by her middle name to protect her anonymity.
After reaching the highest dose, she stopped losing weight
as rapidly. "I got used to it (the medicine). I felt better,"
she said.
In December, Novo said people who adhered to the CagriSema
treatment plan achieved overall weight loss of 22.7% after 68
weeks, with 40.4% losing 25% or more.
That was lower than the 25% across-the-board weight loss it
expected. The disappointment wiped as much as $125 billion off
Novo's value on the day.
Novo also said only 57.3% of patients reached the highest
dose of the medicine, but didn't explain why. Was it because
patients suffered side-effects or because they lost weight on
lower doses? Both could explain why they didn't progress to the
highest dose.
Some investors and analysts were also surprised the trial
used a "flexible" protocol, permitting patients to change their
dose strength instead of adhering to a schedule.
They said this could be a factor in the low take-up of the
highest dose. Novo has said it will start a new trial by June.
IN THE DARK
In interviews with Reuters, more than a dozen investors and
analysts called for more clarity about factors they say are
weighing on Novo's shares. They hope to get more information at
Wednesday's quarterly results.
But Novo may be limited in what it can say as it prepares to
release full data and trial protocol at a scientific conference
later this year, expected to be the American Diabetes
Association meeting in June.
Lukas Leu, fund manager at healthcare-focused Bellevue Asset
Management in Switzerland, which holds Novo shares, said he was
disappointed Novo did not disclose the flexible dosing earlier
or explain its reasons for doing so.
Novo's prior major semaglutide trials permitted participants
to stay on lower doses if they experienced "unacceptable
side-effects".
In the STEP trial, which studied semaglutide for weight
loss, 89.6% of patients completing the trial were receiving the
highest dose.
"With CagriSema, people are assuming the worst - on efficacy
the drug is not better than Lilly's tirzepatide, on tolerability
that it is worse, and that it is harder to manufacture," said
Barclays analyst Emily Field, referring to the active ingredient
in Lilly's Zepbound/Mounjaro.
"We don't necessarily agree with all those viewpoints, but
given lack of additional commentary from the company, I
understand why people are taking such a negative approach."
'LIFE CHANGING'
Reuters interviewed two people who participated in the
CagriSema trial that reported in December, called REDEFINE-1,
and three in an ongoing Phase III trial, called REDEFINE-4,
which is testing CagriSema against Zepbound/Mounjaro.
REDEFINE-1 patients did not know until after the trial ended
which drug they received. REDEFINE-4 patients know which drug
they are getting.
Michelle Rivera, who lives in Dallas, Texas, said she
struggled to eat after she began taking CagriSema in the
REDEFINE-4 trial.
"Literally nothing was appetising," said Rivera, who has
lost about 22% of her weight.
Rivera has taken CagriSema for a year and has six months
left on the trial. Her appetite slowly returned after about six
months on the drug. But she still eats much smaller portions,
prioritising protein, water and fibre to fight constipation.
Her trial investigators were receptive to participants not
increasing their dose if side-effects bothered them, she said.
She kept to the recommended schedule and reached the maximum
dose after about six months.
Another participant in the ongoing trial, Leigh, who asked
to be identified by her middle name, said nausea, fatigue and
brain fog she experiences in the 24 hours after her weekly
CagriSema injection are so bad that she sometimes can't leave
bed.
She has, however, kept to the recommended dosing protocol in
the hope of losing more weight. After a year on CagriSema, she
has lost about 18% of her weight. The medicine is "life
changing", she said.
But when she finishes the trial this summer, she wants to
explore whether a maintenance dose of a GLP-1 medicine would
help her sustain weight loss without such intense side-effects.
"What I'm dealing with now, it's not sustainable," she said.