NEW YORK/LONDON, March 21 (Reuters) - The looming
introduction of a shorter settlement cycle for U.S. securities
is causing headaches for international fund managers, who face
staffing problems, the prospect of holding more cash and raised
foreign exchange risk as they prepare to comply.
Introduced to lessen the risks of unsettled trades after
periods of volatility, the coming change will see securities
transactions settle one business day after the trade, or T+1,
rather than two.
The move, which came after the 2021 plunge in GameStop ( GME )
, is due to take place on May 28 in the U.S.
However, it places the country at odds with much of the rest
of the world where the typical cycle is T+2. As a result, market
participants have been rethinking their processes to avoid
transaction failures and higher trading expenses, according to
custodians, traders and consultants.
"(The transition) is not going to be without its costs,"
said Ben Springett, head of European electronic and program
trading at Jefferies.
"You'd ... expect there to be a requirement for a greater
amount of cash balances in funds to bridge any potential gaps,
and cash mismatches," said Springett. "So, that will come at a
detriment to fund performance."
The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), which
provides securities clearing and settlement in U.S. financial
markets, has been working to prepare with industry bodies
including the Investment Company Institute (ICI).
Tom Price, managing director and head of technology,
operations and business continuity at Securities Industry and
Financial Markets Association said that while T+1 was a
"complicated and complex initiative" there were "risk reduction
and operational benefits" for the industry.
RJ Rondini, director of securities operations at ICI said
that for the U.S. securities market, "the overall reduction in
capital far outweighs the actual absolute value of the increases
in risk in all of these other areas."
DTCC declined comment. A paper it published on Feb. 28 said
market participants must accelerate their preparations.
TRADING HOURS
The shortened cycle could cause operational challenges such
as potential dislocation in FX trades. Foreign investors have to
buy dollars to fund U.S. securities transactions.
Nathan Vurgest, director of trading at Record Financial
Group said he is looking at whether FX costs would increase if
more trades are done in the late U.S. period should liquidity
move away from the London morning.
The European Funds and Asset Management Association (EFAMA)
said earlier this month that faster U.S. settlement posed a
"systemic risk" to Europe, noting the very limited window that
non-U.S. market participants will have to access to CLS, the
world's largest multi-currency settlement system for FX trades.
According to EFAMA, asset managers trading up to the U.S.
close have just two hours to confirm those trades and submit
them to CLS. EFAMA members polled said they expected to have to
settle $50-70 billion of daily FX trades outside the safety of
CLS, leading to calls to extend the CLS cut-off time.
Jefferies' Springett said some non-U.S. participants were
weighing contingencies including setting up outposts in the U.S.
or working U.S. hours.
Shortening the cycle could have other knock-on effects such
as increasing demand for short-term financing. Typically, some
investors must wait to receive cash from one market before they
can buy securities in another, but those who sell international
securities to buy into the U.S. may find themselves with a cash
shortfall for a day.
This could increase the use of the overnight repurchase
agreements but shift credit risk - the danger that a
counterparty cannot pay its obligations on time and in full -
onto banks in that space, said Adam Watson, head of commercial
product for custody services at BNY Mellon.
"That is going to force portfolio managers to start thinking
about 'do I go to the overnight repo market, or ... are my
custodians able to extend me the credit overnight?'" said
Watson.
Custodians, safekeepers of client assets, typically provide
clients with short-term credit in the form of intraday
liquidity, and on an exceptional basis overnight funding, to
help settle across different systems and time zones.
But this type of lending is usually limited to the
processing of clients' securities or payment transactions and is
not generally committed, and is therefore not a guaranteed
extension of credit, Watson said.
KNOCK-ON EFFECTS
There could be other consequences. Global index funds such
as exchange-traded funds with a significant mix of assets having
mismatched settlement could also face disruption, managers said.
Steve Fenty, head of currency management at State Street
Global Markets, said that when there is disharmony across a
fund's settlement cycle and its underlying assets, managers
might consider splitting up settlement cycles between funds that
have a high proportion of U.S. assets underlying versus more
diversified global funds.
The change could also reduce liquidity in equities markets,
said Josh Galper, managing principal at capital markets
consultancy Finadium, as a shortened time frame in the U.S.
could decrease the time to recall securities that were loaned to
short sellers.
"It is often overlooked how much liquidity short selling and
securities lending delivers to equity markets," Galper said.
"It's the type of thing that you know it when its gone."