By Shankar Ramakrishnan
May 28 (Reuters) - Banks and insurers are making more
requests to U.S. credit agencies for ratings on their risky
loans to private equity funds that are secured against the value
of their portfolio investments and cash flows that come from
them.
So far, the response from the agencies including the top 3
- S&P, Moody's and Fitch - has been cautious because
the valuation of the assets backing the loans are difficult to
assess as they are owned by an opaque investor base.
A higher-for-longer interest rate environment over the last
few years has limited opportunities for private equity fund
managers to profitably exit investments in their portfolios.
They are instead starting to rely on loans to reinvest in
existing portfolio companies, wait for a better time to exit
these investments, make new acquisitions or pay dividends to
their investors in the funds.
This activity has raised concerns about so-called leverage on
leverage in private credit, a growing area of private fund
finance.
Lenders are now approaching rating agencies to get credit
ratings on their loans in a bid to lower the amount of capital
needed on these loans and as an added due-diligence of the risk,
senior rating officials said.
Agencies are balancing this fee-generating potential with a
methodical approach.
Only two - S&P Global Ratings and KBRA - of the four
agencies interviewed by Reuters rate net-asset value or NAV
loans which are riskier because they are secured based on the
theoretical valuation of an almost fully invested fund.
Valuations are much harder to assess in an environment where
default rates in the invested portfolio companies are expected
to rise as they struggle with higher interest expenses.
These loans have a shorter history in comparison to other
types as their demand and wider use rose only in the last few
years as exits through asset sales became harder in a
higher-for-longer rate environment.
Their volumes are growing.
"We expect the approximately $150 billion in NAV facilities
that some market participants have currently seen in the market
to double within the next two years," S&P said in a recent
report.
But only one of the top 3 rating agencies even has a
methodology to rate them.
Moody's Ratings does not have one for NAV loans, said its
associate managing director, Rory Callagy.
"NAV loans are newer and there is less standardization of
lending terms in this market," said Callagy.
"The collateral backing NAV loans are private investments
whose values can be hard to assess because there is less
transparency on the valuation of the assets," he added.
METHODICAL APPROACH
Assessing the credit risk of NAV loans "requires a strong
understanding of the quality of a fund's portfolio and the key
structural provisions, like loan-to-value ratios, and its use of
distributions and exit proceeds," said Gopal Narsimhamurthy,
global head of fund rating at KBRA, which has rated nearly 100
NAV loans over the last couple of years.
The agency's analytical process includes an evaluation of a
fund manager's performance history, valuation process track
record, the legal structure and security provisions of the NAV
loan, he said.
S&P has been actively rating NAV loans for more than 20
years but only gives private ratings on request on a small
fraction of the debt.
The firm starts by assessing a fund's performance through
the asset portfolios with stress scenarios seen during the 2008
financial crisis.
"We begin by haircutting the value of the fund by 40-60%
depending on whether the assets are private equity, listed
equity or a bond portfolio to ascertain whether the fund would
still have the capability to pay its debt in a severe stress
scenario," said S&P's Nik Khakee, methodologies managing
director.
And this review is contingent on an obligation for regular
disclosures by the borrower, said Devi Aurora, financial
institutions managing director, S&P Global Ratings.
Fitch is working on a methodology to rate NAV loans.
When it does have it, Fitch wants to start with rating NAV
loans backed by secondaries or funds comprised of private market
investments which transacted in the secondary market, said Greg
Fayvilevich, head of Fitch Ratings' fund and asset manager
ratings group.
Secondaries have a visible starting point to value an asset
unlike loans backed by buyouts whose repayments hinged on an
exit through an IPO or asset sale.
"We are being asked by the market to provide ratings to help
investors assess the risks of these loans, and we will do that
where we feel we have enough information to provide an accurate
assessment," said Fitch's Fayvilevich.
"Where we don't have enough information then we won't assign
ratings - it's pretty straightforward," he added.