*
Hot, dry weather forecast for Russia, Ukraine in coming
months
*
Flooding in U.S. Midwest shuts rail lines, floods grain
bins
*
Relief seen for China's corn, soybean crops hit by
heatwave
*
India set for normal weather, Australia seen getting more
rains
(Adds flooding in U.S. paragraphs 10-14)
By Naveen Thukral and P.J. Huffstutter
SINGAPORE, June 24 (Reuters) - Forecast dryness in the
Black Sea region's breadbasket is likely to stunt sunflower and
corn yields, while heavy rain in the U.S. after near-record
temperatures threatens to take a toll on crops, squeezing world
supplies and pushing prices higher.
"The weather forecast for the Black Sea region is a big red
flag," said Chris Hyde, a meteorologist at U.S.-based Maxar,
with dryness and below-normal rains expected for July and August
likely to crimp the region's key corn and sunflower crops.
Record temperatures in major global growing regions have
delayed planting and hurt developing crops as the impact of
climate change intensifies, with vast swathes of farmland in
Russia, China, India and parts of the United States experiencing
extremely hot conditions and below-normal rainfall.
Global wheat prices jumped to a 10-month high in May
after adverse weather trimmed yields for the maturing crop in
Russia, the biggest exporter.
Hot weather in southern Russia will hit crops because of a
lack of soil moisture, with lower precipitation and heat also
expected in Urals, Western Siberia and Transbaikalia, Russia's
Hydrometeorological Centre said in a forecast.
Southern and eastern Ukraine have also seen hot and dry
weather, with precipitation between May 1 and June 10 only
20-50% of normal, according to the state weather forecaster,
with drought hindering development of winter and spring crops in
parts of the Kharkiv and Donetsk regions.
"The month of May in Ukraine turned out to be one of the
driest for the last 30 years," state forecasters said. "In
northern regions, in particular in Zhytomyr, hail resulted in
damage of spring crops such as corn, soybeans and sunflower."
In the U.S., a top food exporter, intense heat has gripped
parts of the east coast, causing the government to reduce the
percentage of corn and soy rated good and excellent on Monday.
Excessive rains in the key Midwest growing region and forecasts
for more wet weather have raised fears of floods.
"In the Midwest, the focus is shifting from heat to too much
rain, which could result in flooding on corn and soybean
producing areas, especially in the Upper Midwest," Hyde said.
Iowa governor Kim Reynolds said on social media platform X
that widespread flooding in northwest Iowa, the top U.S. corn
producing state, had pushed river levels above 1993 records.
BNSF railway, owned by Berkshire Hathaway ( BRK/A ), said in
a statement a bridge collapsed over the Big Sioux River on
Sunday and it is rerouting trains through Creston, Iowa. Union
Pacific ( UNP ) said it closed rail lines between Mason City, Iowa, and
St. Paul, Minnesota, and between Sioux City, Iowa, and St. Paul.
Rob Jacobs, chief executive officer of Cooperative
Farmers Elevator, said severe flooding impacted several of the
cooperative's locations, with roads washed out and feed mill
facilities swamped. Tunnels used to load grain bins flooded and
warehouses used to store seeds and farm chemicals filled with up
to 18 inches of water, Jacobs said.
Most analysts said it was too early to estimate
potential crop damage from flooding.
CHINA, INDIA WEATHER SEEN IMPROVING
In Asia, ample rains are expected to alleviate severe
dryness in parts of China, a top soybean buyer, while rains
during India's monsoon, running a fifth below normal, are likely
to recover, boosting agriculture in the world's biggest rice
exporter and top edible oil importer.
"China's corn and soybean producing north and east has been
dry and a worry," said Hyde. "But the weather is expected to be
normal to slightly above normal precipitation in the
July-September period, which will be beneficial for crops."
China's meteorological centre told Reuters that parts of the
north, northeast and western provinces will see higher
precipitation in July to September, which will encourage crop
growth.
"But the precipitation will be intense in some areas, there
will need to be vigilance about rapid shifts in droughts and
floods," it said, adding that the higher humidity may also raise
the risk of crop diseases and pests.
In India, the monsoon is advancing after stalling for more
than a week, a weather department official said.
"It has now gained much-needed momentum for its advance into
the northern plains. In the next few weeks, we expect several
spells of heavy rainfall that will erase the rainfall deficit.
July is shaping up to be promising."
The weather in Australia is expected to be normal, with some
areas getting higher than average rains, boosting the wheat crop
outlook, while mainly normal weather is also forecast in coming
months in Argentina and Brazil.