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Glencore ( GLCNF ) has leverage as a top 3 global copper producer
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Company's valuation is cheap compared with peers -analysts
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Glencore ( GLCNF ) still hopeful talks with Rio may restart -source
By Clara Denina and Pratima Desai
LONDON, Jan 20 (Reuters) - Miner and commodity trader
Glencore ( GLCNF ) said it is open to M&A transactions that create value
for its shareholders, leveraging its position as a top three
global copper producer.
"As we have always said, M&A is something we are good at and
we are always open to do transactions that are value-accretive
for the company," a Glencore ( GLCNF ) spokesperson said.
Potential M&A deals were the chief preoccupation for
investors in the sector in 2024, but BHP's $49 billion
failed bid for Anglo American in May showed the
difficulty of combining diversified producers.
Glencore ( GLCNF ) made an approach to Rio Tinto late
last year with a proposition to merge the two mining companies
but talks did not progress, according to two sources close to
the matter. Neither company has commented on any talks.
The spokesperson would not comment on the reports.
Rio Tinto would benefit from more copper production through
a deal with Glencore ( GLCNF ), but the world's second-largest miner had
questions around how much it would have to spend and its culture
compatibility with the Swiss company, a third source with direct
knowledge of the matter said.
"Glencore ( GLCNF ) is a trader... and their operating assets are
nothing but a captive source of material for them to trade
against. The culture clash would be quite something... but any
deal can be done at the right price," said Abel Martins
Alexandre, previously a Rio Tinto treasurer and a former
managing director at Lloyds Bank.
For example, Martins Alexandre said if Glencore ( GLCNF ) had Rio
Tinto's portfolio they may believe they could make more money
out of trading the materials that Rio Tinto produces than Rio
Tinto does alone, as this is not a trading entity.
Mining companies are racing to expand copper output, with
demand poised to jump from use for energy transition
applications such as solar panels, electric cars and data
centres for artificial intelligence.
At the same time, major producers are wary of paying hefty
premiums that could put pressure on their balance sheets and
irritate shareholders.
Glencore ( GLCNF ) produces more than one million metric tons of
copper a year, outpacing Rio's output by up to 40%.
Glencore's ( GLCNF ) valuation is cheap compared with peers, analysts
say, and its share price lost 25% of its value in 2024.
Diversified miners BHP and Rio Tinto's London shares lost 21%
and 19% respectively, while Anglo's shares rose 20%.
Glencore's ( GLCNF ) coal operations will be perceived as a "poison
pill" for other companies' shareholders, said Martins Alexandre.
While most Western miners have sold assets of the
carbon-intensive fossil fuel, Glencore ( GLCNF ) has remained an industry
outlier, amassing more of it over the past few years.
CASH DEALS
Reuters reported last year that Glencore ( GLCNF ) had also been
studying a potential combination with Anglo American after BHP's
approach emerged. The company declined to comment.
Its 2023 failed attempt to acquire Teck Resources ( TECK ) for $23
billion meant it had to settle for 77% of the steelmaking coal
assets that the Canadian miner intended to spin off anyway.
Teck, now mainly a copper miner with a market capitalization
of $22 billion, would cost much more today.
Glencore ( GLCNF ) is still hopeful that talks may restart with Rio
Tinto, one of the sources with direct knowledge of the matter
said. Glencore's ( GLCNF ) spokesperson declined to comment.
The company has always had an acquisitive strategy, but in
recent years it has increasingly relied on cash for deals,
reflecting management's belief that the company's stock is
undervalued, RBC Capital Markets analyst Ben Davis said.
Some institutional shareholders said they would be happy for
companies like Glencore ( GLCNF ) or Anglo American to be sold to bigger
miners for premiums above 30%.
They see synergies in overheads reduction, or use of same
infrastructure facilities at adjacent mines, for example.
Other shareholders are however sceptical of big M&A for the
mining sector, and executives are not "going to push the
boundary", as none of the portfolios are perfect and some assets
are more desirable than others, a mining banker said.