Feb 27 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs' ( GS ) asset
management arm has assured investors that the redemption rate at
GS Credit remains well below that of its peers, setting it apart
from turbulence in private credit sparked by concerns that AI
could disrupt software companies.
In a letter to investors seen by Reuters on Friday, the Wall
Street firm added that Goldman Sachs Private Credit Corp
continued to see strong appetite, with December inflows 11%
above the year-to-date average and a fourth-quarter redemption
rate of 3.5%, compared with more than 5% for peers.
Fears that AI could erode the earnings power of software
companies and weaken their ability to repay loans are rippling
through private credit, a key lender to the technology sector,
prompting investors to reassess exposure, redemption risks and
fundraising prospects, analysts have said.
Concerns have been compounded by renewed troubles at Blue
Owl over asset sales, triggering a sharp selloff in
shares of alternative asset managers with a footprint in the
private credit market.
The shift in sentiment is testing a corner of the
alternatives market that has swelled into a roughly $2 trillion
juggernaut in recent years.
"As we enter 2026, the private credit landscape is facing
volatile macroeconomic conditions, shifting flows in the traded
and non-traded BDC (Business Development Company) market, and
accelerating technological change - particularly around AI,"
Goldman said.
ASSESSING AI IMPACT
The firm disclosed that GS Credit's exposure to enterprise
software credit was about 15.5% at the end of the third quarter,
toward the low end of the range reported by its peers.
Investors have been grappling with the prospect of AI
disruption for weeks, with many increasingly concerned that the
technology has shifted from an efficiency and productivity
tailwind for the software sector to a potential existential
threat.
Goldman said it has been assessing the impact of AI on the
software space for years and passed on its first deal due to AI
concerns in October 2023.
"We agree with the perspective that AI is significantly
lowering development costs which will lead to increased
competitive intensity for incumbent software companies," it said
in the letter.
Goldman added that it invests in businesses that show
"structural advantages and incumbency moats" that may be
difficult for new entrants to displace.
The company said it rolled its first internal framework to
evaluate AI disruption risk in early 2025.
"We do not underestimate the risk of AI disruption," it
added.