CANNES, France, March 13 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Asset
Management will resume "actively investing" in U.S. commercial
real estate this year because the market is bottoming out, the
co-head of its real estate business said on Wednesday.
Prices of U.S. offices and other commercial properties such
as multi-family apartment blocks have fallen sharply in the face
of higher interest rates and for vacancy rates for offices that
have soared far more than elsewhere since the pandemic.
The plunge in prices has rattled confidence in U.S.
regional banks with large exposure. Investors gathered in Cannes
this week for a property conference said the office sector could
struggle to recover, with a Brookfield Asset Management ( BAM )
executive calling the U.S. the world's most
oversupplied market
.
Jim Garman, GSAM's co-head of real estate, said he saw a
buying opportunity.
"The reason is a combination of interest rates coming down,
we feel like the market is bottoming out, and because we're
starting to see a floor in prices set by buyers who are in the
market," Garman told Reuters in an interview at the MIPIM
conference.
Garman said GSAM, the asset management arm of Goldman Sachs ( GS )
, had begun to deploy more cash in real estate in Europe
and Japan over the past three months, without quantifying its
investment.
The underlying strength of the U.S. economy should support a
rebound in the U.S. market too, although he cautioned about the
speed of a recovery.
"We don't think its going to be a very sharp V-shaped
recovery - we think we're going to bump along the bottom for a
while, as a lot of these over-levered situations in the asset
class get worked through," he said.
Today's property market downturn is not like the 2008-09
global financial crisis, in part because banks are in better
shape and "have the capital cushion to take action", Richard
Spencer, managing director in GSAM's Real Estate Principal
Investments Area, said in Cannes.
"We're expecting an extended period of deleveraging,
rather than a blanket 'extend and pretend' approach or blanket
resolutions by lenders. It's just going to take time to
resolve," he said.
The need to green building has also set off a "capital
expenditure supercycle relating to sustainability", Spencer
added.