MOSCOW, April 8 (Reuters) - U.S. investment bank Goldman
Sachs ( GS ) said bond pricing inferred that markets believed there was
70% probability of a Ukraine peace deal, up sharply from before
the November election of U.S. President Donald Trump.
"Our modeling suggests that current market pricing for a
peace deal has risen from below 50% prior to US elections to
around 70% at present," Goldman Sachs ( GS ) said in research note to
clients.
It added, however, that this was slightly lower than a peak
of 76% in February.
Trump, who says he wants to be remembered as a
peacemaker, has repeatedly said he wants to end the "bloodbath"
of the three-year conflict in Ukraine - which his administration
casts as a proxy war between the United States and Russia.
President Vladimir Putin said last month that Russia
supported a U.S. proposal for a ceasefire in Ukraine in
principle, but that fighting could not be paused until a number
of crucial conditions were worked out or clarified.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has said that
Putin's conditions for a ceasefire are unrealistic and has
accused the Russian leader of wanting to continue the war.
Russia currently controls a little under one fifth of
Ukraine, including Crimea which Russia annexed in 2014, and most
but not all of four other regions which Moscow now claims are
part of Russia - a claim not recognised by most countries.