LONDON, May 28 (Reuters) - A surge of attacks on ships
traveling the waters of the Red Sea is forcing shippers to
reroute their vessels, sending them on longer journeys that
drive up their carbon dioxide emissions.
(Read this story in a graphic here.)
For companies struggling to account for - and lower - the
climate-warming emissions associated with their businesses,
these rerouted journeys add to the challenge. Many companies had
already revamped their supply chains as they navigated COVID-19
disruptions, extreme weather risks, trade protectionism that
forced them to change suppliers, and rising freight costs.
"Whether it's the Red Sea, or the war in Ukraine or COVID or
Brexit before that, we've had so many discontinuities in the
last decade," said Archana Jagannathan, who leads sustainability
in Europe for PepsiCo ( PEP ). She said the company will need to
double down on efforts to cut emissions if it hopes to meet its
2030 and 2040 climate pledges.
Reuters spoke to executives from five large consumer
companies and analyzed data from 30 sustainability reports of
major firms to show that third-party carbon emissions have
broadly been on the rise in recent years amid supply chain
disruptions.
Since the attacks by Yemen's Houthi rebel forces began in
the Suez Canal last year, hundreds of ships - powered by heavy
fuel oil - have been diverted around the Cape of Good Hope,
adding hundreds of kilometers (miles) to each journey. Those
extra kilometers (miles) are resulting in higher emissions.
A large container ship's journey from Shanghai to Hamburg,
for example, emits 38% more CO2, or 4.32 million kilograms, if
it goes around Africa instead of through the Suez Canal,
according to data pulled for Reuters by LSEG.
The tracking platform ShipsGo estimates that more than 600
vessels have been rerouted since the attacks began in October.
It is not uncommon for vessels to take longer than expected
even on routine days, according to ShipsGo. But delays and
carbon emissions increased significantly after diversions due to
the conflict in the Red Sea. In December, when ships started
rerouting, average transit times increased by around 50%,
leading to a similar increase in carbon emissions.
Delays and emissions started to normalise in following
months, which ShipsGo says could be a result of the shipping
industry adapting to the changed situations, such as choosing
alternate shipping methods, or logged expected journey times
more in line with longer routes.
The reroutings "are not planned," International Maritime
Organization chief Arsenio Dominguez told a news conference last
month, and the additional CO2 release is "not emitted because we
want to."
The tracking data for the more than 6,000 containers
originally loaded between Dec. 15, 2023, when the first service
suspension started according to ShipsGo, and March 31, 2024,
shows how the rerouting led to delays, as ships were further
redirected with some shipments delayed for weeks.
Maersk has said the delays and backlogs will
likely continue into the second half of the year.
WHAT'S AT STAKE?
For companies that depend on receiving or distributing goods
by sea, these longer shipping journeys pose a potential threat.
While a company's in-house operations and energy use make up
what's called Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions tallies, its supply
chain and distribution activities go into its Scope 3 emissions
- a classification developed by non-profit thinktank the World
Resources Institute.
Reuters examined the most recent sustainability reports for
30 of the world's biggest companies, and found that 10 reported
higher year-on-year Scope 3 emissions in 2022 or 2023, largely
tied to shipping. The Red Sea delays could make that worse.
Speaking to Reuters, officials from some of those companies
said failing to cut overall emissions could risk alienating
consumers, losing investors, or jeopardising their ability to
secure sustainable financing. They also could face shipping
taxes, which may soon be approved.
The Denmark-based dairy company Arla Foods, which makes
Lurpak butter, is already juggling higher costs. "Due to the
conflict in the Red Sea, our emission has also gone up equally
1-1 with the cost" of shipping, said the company's supply chain
sustainability chief, Mia Høj Bredal.
Reuters found many examples of detours in the tracking data,
with the most common for ships to go around the entire African
continent - adding weeks to the journey - rather than taking the
Suez Canal shortcut between the Mediterranean and the Red Sea.
The Red Sea crisis has already pushed up the cost of
European Union shipping emissions permits "by a third" as the
typical 30-day voyage becomes a 40-day trip, said Chris Rogers,
who manages the Supply Chain Research team within S&P Global.
Some vessels traveling from Asia to North America opted to
avoid the Middle East and Red Sea completely, instead heading
straight for the Cape of Good Hope and around the tip of Africa.
Other vessels coming from the north headed for the Suez
Canal and made it halfway through the Red Sea, before turning
back. This added even more time to those journeys.
COSTS AT SEA
Shipping, which accounts for 2.9% of global CO2 emissions,
has largely escaped taxation because the high seas are not in
the jurisdiction of any one government.
But for companies, the longer ship journeys translated to
higher costs. Nestle CEO Mark Schneider said in
February that the world's biggest food company was seeing "some
stress" on its freight costs due to the detours.
Despite the higher shipping costs, the slower journey times
led both San Francisco-based Levi Strauss & Co. ( LEVI )
clothing company and Britain's multinational consumer goods
company Reckitt to transport some of their goods by air
or by truck - both of which are significantly more climate
polluting than shipping. Truck journeys are roughly 10 times
more carbon intensive than shipping, while long-haul air freight
generates 47 times the emissions as shipping per ton-mile,
according to MIT research.
More than 20 countries and regional organisations are now
backing proposals for an emissions levy on shippers, saying it
could raise more than $80 billion a year in funds that can be
put into developing low-carbon fuels. A levy on shipping could
also lead to higher shipping costs for companies.
The harm from shipping emissions does not come from
planet-warming CO2 alone, but also from the sulfates and black
soot that billow out from a ship's smokestack. Those airborne
pollution particles allow shipping emissions to sometimes be
seen from space. "Ship tracks" materialize as water vapor
condenses around the particles.
The MODIS instrument aboard NASA's Terra satellite captured
this image on June 4, 2021. Some of the criss-crossing clouds
stretch hundreds of kilometers from end to end.
With so many disruptions in the global supply chain, some
companies told Reuters that they are looking to localize more of
their operations by using suppliers closer to home, sometimes
called "nearshoring."
"It's become much more apparent how urgent it is that as a
collective we get emissions down," said Thomas Lingard, who
leads Dove soap maker Unilever's ( UL ) global environmental policy and
strategy. "The kinds of changes that you need are much more
transformational."
Multinational food company Kraft Heinz ( KHC ), for
instance, has been building capacity with local suppliers in
Egypt and Eastern European operations in order to reduce its
overall emissions, "a significant portion" of which comes from
its transportation and distribution network.
This nearshoring also lowers the supply risk and leads to
better prices, the Chicago-based company said in its 2023
sustainability report. This year, its Pudliszki factory will
source nearly all of the tomato paste used in its products from
dozens of small farms within 60 kilometers (40 miles) of the
Polish town.
When Reuters examined the more than 6,000 delayed containers
by destination, it became clear that the longest delays - as a
percentage of the overall journey - were for ships heading to a
port on the Mediterranean or in the Middle East, on either side
of the Suez Canal. Containers on longer journeys between Asia
and North America tended to have less significant delays.
INVESTMENT JEOPARDY
Several top investors told Reuters that they would challenge
or engage with companies that say they missed their Scope 3
emissions targets because of supply chain troubles like the Red
Sea crisis.
"Blaming transportation for missing Scope 3 targets sounds
like a potential cop-out to me," said Eric Pedersen, Nordea
Asset Management's head of responsible investments. Some
portfolios with climate-focused investment strategies could
consider letting stocks go after "successive disappointments."
While experts agree there is a business threat from missing
emissions targets, it is a threat that many companies are not
yet concerned about.
Major global freight forwarder, Unique Logistics, said its
hundreds of corporate clients were not asking about carbon
emissions at all, but instead wanted to cut unexpected costs
from their supply chains.
"We have not yet had major customers who specifically asked
for certain vessel services or a certain choice of shipping
lines based on environmental factors," Unique Logistics CEO
Sunandan Ray said. "The first priority for everyone still
remains cost."