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Tesla launched Model Y, Model 3 variants priced $5,000
lower
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Tesla removed premium and some basic parts and features to
cut
cost
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Tesla's margins have been under pressure after price cuts,
incentives
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Plummeting regulatory credit sales seen hurting Tesla's
profit
By Abhirup Roy and Akash Sriram
SAN FRANCISCO, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The profitability of
Tesla's so-called affordable new cars will be in focus
when the electric vehicle maker reports quarterly results on
Wednesday, and analysts think that thousands of dollars in cost
cuts per vehicle will not be quite enough to protect profit
margins.
The Standard Model Y and Model 3, introduced earlier this month,
represent a bet by Elon Musk that Tesla can increase overall
sales and earnings by driving volume, even if each vehicle
itself is less profitable. The billionaire CEO has prioritized
robotaxis in Tesla's future but must keep sales up while the new
machines are developed.
The Model Y and Model 3 are priced $5,000 to $5,500 lower
than predecessors in the United States. Cutting battery size,
offering a less powerful motor, removing rear touchscreens and
myriad other current details have saved thousands of dollars.
"Tesla's intent is clear - trade short-term margin for
long-term network scale," said Shay Boloor, chief market
strategist at Futurum Equities, who said some cannibalization of
sales of pricier models was to be expected.
The new vehicles offer cheaper ways into a Tesla in Europe and
Asia, where Chinese EVs are gaining ground, and partially offset
the elimination of a federal tax credit in the United States.
That credit ended in September, leading to a last-minute jump in
U.S. sales that will be reflected in quarterly results. Analysts
polled by Visible Alpha expect an 8.5% fall in deliveries for
the year, an issue that Musk might address.
Analysts and investors have said the Standard variants are
still too expensive. And Tesla is walking a careful line with
many of the premium features as well as basic ones stripped
out.
The smaller battery and the less powerful motor accounted
for about 40% of the price cut, according to estimates from Sam
Fiorani, vice president at research firm AutoForecast Solutions.
Tesla avoided a deeper cut to the battery in order to offer a
range of 321 miles (516.6 km) per full charge on both of the
variants.
Instead, the company chose to remove many other parts,
Fiorani said.
It dropped ventilated, vegan leather seats, ambient lighting
and power-folding mirrors. Gone are even basic features such as
seat-side buttons to change position, seat-back pockets and the
waterproof lining in the front trunk or "frunk."
"The removal of components is enough to make a buyer think
about moving up to the other model," said Fiorani.
Tesla's gross margin from automotive sales has dropped in
the past few years as it slashed prices and offered incentives
to stave off rising competition and waning demand due to high
interest rates, an aging lineup and consumer backlash against
Musk's far-right political views.
"The big question is, how much incremental demand is there
at this point with the staleness of their vehicle portfolio?"
said Garrett Nelson, a senior equity analyst at CFRA Research.
The results will also show the speed at which a key driver
of Tesla's profit is disappearing. The U.S. government has
changed policy on regulatory credits that traditional automakers
bought from electric-vehicle companies to make up for the
tailpipe pollution from their gasoline-powered vehicles. The new
policy means future sales of the credits are unlikely - and they
may have dried up in the third quarter as well.