LONDON, Nov 5 (Reuters) -
Hedge fund performance, on average, is better when the U.S.
president is a Democrat, data from research firm HFR showed on
Tuesday, as U.S. voters headed to the polls.
Under Democratic Party presidents, hedge funds averaged a 10.2%
annualized return, whereas under a Republican president hedge
funds returned 8.7% on average, showed the data from Hedge Fund
Research's main index which tracks the returns of global hedge
funds.
This data from HFR's HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index tacked
hedge funds' performance averaged over presidential terms from
1990 to 2024.
Hedge funds performed roughly twice as well when the House and
Senate majority were in one party than they did with a split
legislative body, the HFR data showed.
Performance when Democrats had a majority in the U.S.
Congress came in higher than with Republicans, the data also
showed.
By strategy, stock hedge funds fared the best under
Democrats -- averaging a 12.7% return compared to 9.6% under the
Republicans, over the last 34 years, said HFR data.
Hedge funds trading M&A deals and the relative value between
different financial assets also had higher returns during years
when the president was a Democrat, the data showed.
Funds speculating on macroeconomics or so-called macro hedge
funds were the only strategy listed with higher returns during
Republican presidents, according to HFR.
The dispersion between hedge fund performance, or the
difference between the best and worst performing funds differed
the most during years when the president was a Democrat, it
added.
Hedge funds' annualized performance averaged the highest
during the first year of a president's term and came in lowest
during two term presidencies in the second, sixth and last
year.
With 2008 and the financial crisis removed, the result skewed
marginally towards Republicans. Hedge funds returned 10.7% with
Republicans during these years, compared to a 10.2% result with
presidents from the Democratic Party, HFR said.