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Investors looking for exposure to AI buy copper
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Sprott's copper ETF prices up 46% so far this year
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US copper prices attract shipments
By Polina Devitt and Pratima Desai
LONDON, Dec 12 (Reuters) - Copper is closing in on the
$12,000 a metric ton mark as expectations of soaring demand from
data centres that power artificial intelligence and tight
supplies collide with shortages outside the United States.
Valued for its exceptional electrical conductivity, copper
wiring is vital in power grids that feed data centres, electric
vehicles and the infrastructure needed for the energy
transition.
Copper prices are up 35% so far this year and
heading for their largest gain since 2009, due to mining
disruptions and stockpiling in the U.S. On Friday, they touched
$11,952 a ton.
"Investors who want a broad basket of AI interests will also
buy into financial products which include hard assets that feed
into data centres," said Benchmark Mineral Intelligence analyst
Daan de Jonge. "Investors will buy copper-related assets such as
ETFs."
Canada's Sprott Asset Management launched the world's first
physically backed exchange-traded copper fund in mid-2024. The
fund, which holds nearly 10,000 tons of physical
copper, has shot up by almost 46% this year to nearly 14
Canadian dollars per unit.
A recent Reuters survey of analysts' forecasts shows the
copper market will see a deficit of 124,000 tons this year and
150,000 tons next year.
Copper demand growth is being driven by billions of dollars
being invested worldwide to modernise and expand power grids.
Data centres and clean energy require vast amounts of
electricity.
The energy transition, which includes renewable energy
technology such as wind and solar, is also expected to boost
copper demand.
Macquarie expects global copper demand at 27 million tons
this year, up 2.7% from 2024, with demand in top metals consumer
China rising 3.7%. It forecasts global demand growth outside
China at 3% next year.
"Bullish sentiment is being driven by the narrative around
tight supply, supported by macro news flows," said Macquarie
analyst Alice Fox.
US COPPER PRICES A MAGNET FOR TRADERS
Supply disruptions include an accident at Freeport
McMoRan's ( FCX ) giant Grasberg mine in Indonesia in September,
while miners such as Glencore ( GLCNF ) have cut production
guidance for 2026, reinforcing expectations of tight supplies.
The overall amount of copper stored in exchange warehouses -
the London Metal Exchange , U.S.-based Comex
and the Shanghai Futures Exchange -
is up 54% so far this year at 661,021 tons.
Traders have been shipping copper to the United States since
March due to higher prices on Comex ahead of U.S. President
Donald Trump's planned import tariffs. Higher prices are needed
to cover the import tariff.
Stocks on Comex at a record high of 405,782 tons amount to
61% of total exchange stocks versus 20% at the start of 2025.
"It feels incredibly tight because all of this material is
going to the U.S.," said BMI's de Jonge.
Refined copper was given an exemption from the 50% import
tariffs that came into force on August 1, but U.S. levies on the
metal remain under review with an update due by June.