*
Howmet forecasts better-than-expected Q1 results
*
However, company is conservative for 2025 amid output
delays and
potential U.S. tariffs
*
Shares fall after Howmet forecasts 2025 revenue slightly
below
expectations
*
Company says well positioned for tariffs, will pass on
additional costs to customers
By Allison Lampert, Utkarsh Shetti
Feb 13 (Reuters) - Howmet Aerospace ( HWM ) forecast
better than-expected first-quarter revenue and profits on strong
aircraft demand, but the castings giant is taking a conservative
outlook for 2025 as planemakers wrestle with delays and possible
tariffs.
Howmet shares dipped 2.7% in midday trade after the company
forecast 2025 revenue to be slightly below estimates, setting a
cautious tone for the year.
Passengers' appetite for travel has led airlines to expand
their fleets, leading planemakers to accelerate production even
as a shortfall of aircraft keeps older jets flying longer.
That's benefited aerospace suppliers like Howmet whose shares
more than doubled in 2024 and gained about 15% so far this year.
But production challenges faced by Boeing ( BA ) and Airbus
have led jet output to fall below company targets, as
the U.S. planemaker wrestles with a series of crises, including
a mid-air blowout in 2024.
"It would probably have been fairly easy for us to have been
a little bit more optimistic but at the same time there's lots
of things going on during 2025" CEO John Plant told analysts.
From supply chain challenges to Boeing's ( BA ) plans for higher
narrowbody output, and the prospect of the U.S. imposing 25%
tariffs on
key metals for planes
, the aerospace sector faces uncertainty.
Boeing ( BA ), whose 737 MAX output slumped last year following a
mid-air blowout on a near new model, has said it would likely go
above a U.S. regulator-imposed rate cap of 38 a month this year.
Howmet said its guidance assumes Boeing ( BA ) produces about 25
737 MAX jets and six 787 Dreamliner planes per month on average
across 2025. It sees Airbus averaging output in the mid-50s per
month on the A320 and approximately six per month on its A350
widebody jet.
Plant said Howmet would meet higher Boeing ( BA ) production of
its strongest-selling 737 jet if it happens.
"Of course should Boeing ( BA ) build at rate 38 or 42 we will
match this," Plant said.
However he cautioned that the U.S. planemaker could always
cut back on its supply chain, following recent remarks by CFO
Brian West on Boeing's ( BA ) amassed $87.5 billion in inventory levels
being "too much."
Plant added Howmet was well positioned to handle the risk
of 25% U.S. tariffs on foreign steel and aluminum or other
duties floated by U.S. President Donald Trump, noting the
company will pass on additional costs to customers.
Pennsylvania-based Howmet expects first-quarter revenue
between $1.925 billion and $1.945 billion, the midpoint of which
is above analysts' estimates of $1.918 billion, according to
data compiled by LSEG.
It expects first-quarter adjusted earnings between 75 cents
and 77 cents per share, ahead of estimates of 72 cents.
For 2025, it expects free cash flow, a metric closely
watched by investors, to exceed $1 billion.
Howmet sees 2025 revenue between $7.93 billion and $8.13
billion, the midpoint of which is marginally shy of
expectations.
It expects adjusted profit per share for the year to be
between $3.13 and $3.21. Analysts had expected $3.21.
For the fourth quarter ended December 31, the company's
overall sales rose 9% to $1.89 billion, above estimates of $1.88
billion.