By YP Rajesh, Shilpa Jamkhandikar and Shivam Patel
NEW DELHI, June 4 (Reuters) -
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party
(BJP)-led alliance raced to a clear majority in the 543-member
lower house of parliament in early vote-counting trends on
Tuesday, TV channels showed.
The channels showed the ruling National Democratic
Alliance (NDA) was ahead in more than 300 seats, with BJP alone
ahead in 255. The opposition INDIA alliance led by Rahul
Gandhi's Congress party was ahead in 172 seats, with Congress
alone ahead in 71.
Based on the early trends, the Republic TV channel
called the vote in favour of Modi, the first to do so.
The first votes counted are postal ballots, which are paper
ballots, mostly cast by troops serving outside their home
constituencies or officials away from home on election duty.
This year, postal votes were also offered to voters over 85
years of age and people with disabilities to allow them to vote
from home.
Counting is expected to last several hours as the large
majority of votes polled in electronic voting machines or EVMs
are taken up after the first 30 minutes of counting postal
ballots.
"These are very early trends, we are going to see better
results as the day progresses," Congress spokesperson Pawan
Khera said.
TV exit polls broadcast after voting ended on June 1
projected a big win for Modi, but exit polls have often got
election outcomes wrong in India. Nearly one billion people were
registered to vote, of which 642 million turned out.
However, if Modi's victory is confirmed, his BJP will have
triumphed in a vitriolic campaign in which parties accused each
other of religious bias and of posing a threat to sections of
the population.
Investors have already cheered the prospects of another Modi
term, expecting it to deliver further years of strong economic
growth and pro-business reforms, while a possible two-thirds
majority in parliament could allow major changes to the
constitution, rivals and critics fear.
"The next government's main task will be to set India on the
path of getting rich before it ages," the Times of India
newspaper said in an editorial on Tuesday, referring to the
young, working age population in the world's most populous
nation. "The clock's ticking."
MARKETS CHEER
India stocks fell at the open after Monday's sharp surge as
traders said there was some nervousness on the margin of
victory.
The NIFTY 50 was down 2.2% at 0345 GMT and the
S&P BSE Sensex was down 1.8%.
TV exit polls released on Saturday after voting ended
projected the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance could win a
two-thirds majority in the 543-member lower house of parliament.
Several major polls projected the BJP alone could win more
than the 303 it won in 2019.
The projections pushed Indian shares to lifetime highs on
Monday while the rupee gained and bond yields dropped.
Nearly one billion people were eligible to vote in the
seven-phase, seven-week poll which began on April 19 and held in
searing summer heat with temperatures touching nearly 50°
Celsius (122° Fahrenheit) in some parts.
More than 66% of registered voters turned out, just one
percentage point lower than the previous election in 2019,
squashing pre-poll concerns that voters might shun a contest
thought to be a foregone conclusion in Modi's favour.
Modi, 73, who first swept to power in 2014 by promising
growth and change, is seeking to be only the second prime
minister after India's independence leader Jawaharlal Nehru to
win three straight terms.
He began his campaign by showcasing his record in office
including economic growth, welfare policies, national pride,
Hindu nationalism and his own personal commitment to fulfilling
promises which he called "Modi's Guarantee".
However, he changed tack after low voter turnout in the
first phase and accused the opposition, especially the Congress
party which leads an alliance of two dozen groups, of favouring
India's 200 million Muslims - a shift analysts said made the
campaign coarse and divisive.
They said the pivot may have been aimed at firing up the
Hindu nationalist base of Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to
draw them to vote. Modi defended himself against criticism that
he was stoking divisions between Hindus and Muslims to win votes
and said that he was only faulting the opposition campaign.
The opposition INDIA alliance, led by Rahul Gandhi's
Congress party, denied it favoured Muslims in the Hindu-majority
country and said Modi would destroy the constitution if he
returned to power and end affirmative action enjoyed by the
so-called backward castes. The BJP rejects this.