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India's IT sector set for another weak quarter as demand stays soft
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India's IT sector set for another weak quarter as demand stays soft
Oct 7, 2025 1:39 AM

BENGALURU, Oct 7 (Reuters) -

India's IT firms are set for another lackluster quarter as

weak global demand, steep U.S. tariffs and trade jitters weigh

on earnings, six brokerages said ahead of results.

Four forecast year-on-year revenue growth of about 6%

and a 5.5% profit rise for the September quarter, despite

seasonal strength from project cycles.

"September ... will be another muted quarter for IT,"

said Abhishek Pathak of Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

"As clients reel under macro and tariff uncertainty,

there is hesitation to commit additional dollars to any large

initiatives."

The projections point to continued single-digit growth,

extending an eight-quarter trend as weak U.S. client spending

weighs on the sector.

Indian IT firms last saw double-digit revenue growth in the

March quarter of 2023, driven by digital transformation, cloud

adoption and remote-work demand after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Tata Consultancy Services, India's biggest IT firm,

will open the earnings season on October 9 with revenue expected

to rise about 2% year on year, compared to up about 8% in the

same period last year.

Infosys and HCLTech are forecast to post

revenue growth of about 8% and 9.5% respectively.

Citi Research expects fiscal 2026 to be the third straight

sluggish year for IT, while Ambit Capital warned that weak

macros and policy uncertainty could cap 2027 rebound.

U.S.-based Accenture ( ACN ) last month flagged no

"meaningful change" in market conditions, while forecasting

full-year 2026 revenue below the LSEG-compiled estimate of 5.3%.

Banking and financial services segment is expected to hold

up, while manufacturing and retail face tariff and budget

pressures, Systematix Institutional Equities said.

A planned $100,000 H-1B visa fee and a proposed 25% U.S.

tax on outsourcing have added to industry concerns, with

analysts seeing limited near-term impact but potential shifts in

delivery models.

Foreign investors have offloaded 678.36 billion rupees

($7.64 billion) of IT stocks in 2025, the biggest sectoral

outflow, dragging the Nifty IT index down 20%

year-to-date against a 6% gain in the Nifty 50.

Still, Axis Securities said the correction in large- and

mid-cap IT stocks has improved valuations, offering a better

risk-reward even if a sharp rebound takes time.

($1 = 88.7370 Indian rupees)

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