BENGALURU, Oct 7 (Reuters) -
India's IT firms are set for another lackluster quarter as
weak global demand, steep U.S. tariffs and trade jitters weigh
on earnings, six brokerages said ahead of results.
Four forecast year-on-year revenue growth of about 6%
and a 5.5% profit rise for the September quarter, despite
seasonal strength from project cycles.
"September ... will be another muted quarter for IT,"
said Abhishek Pathak of Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
"As clients reel under macro and tariff uncertainty,
there is hesitation to commit additional dollars to any large
initiatives."
The projections point to continued single-digit growth,
extending an eight-quarter trend as weak U.S. client spending
weighs on the sector.
Indian IT firms last saw double-digit revenue growth in the
March quarter of 2023, driven by digital transformation, cloud
adoption and remote-work demand after the COVID-19 pandemic.
Tata Consultancy Services, India's biggest IT firm,
will open the earnings season on October 9 with revenue expected
to rise about 2% year on year, compared to up about 8% in the
same period last year.
Infosys and HCLTech are forecast to post
revenue growth of about 8% and 9.5% respectively.
Citi Research expects fiscal 2026 to be the third straight
sluggish year for IT, while Ambit Capital warned that weak
macros and policy uncertainty could cap 2027 rebound.
U.S.-based Accenture ( ACN ) last month flagged no
"meaningful change" in market conditions, while forecasting
full-year 2026 revenue below the LSEG-compiled estimate of 5.3%.
Banking and financial services segment is expected to hold
up, while manufacturing and retail face tariff and budget
pressures, Systematix Institutional Equities said.
A planned $100,000 H-1B visa fee and a proposed 25% U.S.
tax on outsourcing have added to industry concerns, with
analysts seeing limited near-term impact but potential shifts in
delivery models.
Foreign investors have offloaded 678.36 billion rupees
($7.64 billion) of IT stocks in 2025, the biggest sectoral
outflow, dragging the Nifty IT index down 20%
year-to-date against a 6% gain in the Nifty 50.
Still, Axis Securities said the correction in large- and
mid-cap IT stocks has improved valuations, offering a better
risk-reward even if a sharp rebound takes time.
($1 = 88.7370 Indian rupees)