*
Gazprom's Europe-facing export arm considers selling
lavish
offices, sources say
*
Down to just a handful of employees, job cuts also
approved at
headquarters, sources say
*
European buyers cast doubt on return to Russian gas in
case of
Ukraine peace
*
Russia's gas exports to China unlikely to replace European
market losses
March 13 (Reuters) - When the CEO of Russian state gas
giant Gazprom, Alexei Miller, opened a lavish Italian
palazzo-styled building in central St Petersburg to house the
company's export arm 11 years ago, he augured a future funded by
European sales.
"This is symbolic," he said, referring to the modern new
offices in Russia's most European city. "Europe will
increasingly need Russian gas."
Instead, the opulent offices have come to symbolize
Gazprom's rapid decline, dragged down by the almost total loss
of European markets after the war in Ukraine ruptured Russia's
ties with the West.
Reeling under multi-billion-dollar losses and scrambling for
savings, the company is now considering putting the palazzo up
for sale along with other luxury properties it owns, according
to a Gazprom executive and another source with knowledge of
internal discussions at Gazprom.
Gazprom is arguably the Russian business hardest hit by the
international sanctions imposed after Russia's full-scale
invasion of Ukraine three years ago. Although Russia's economy
has been resilient, growing signs of strain have appeared in
several industries. Reuters has previously reported that
President Vladimir Putin is concerned as heavy military spending
distorts the wider economy.
The number of staff at Gazprom Export, once the most
prosperous unit of the company, overseeing Soviet and Russia's
gas sales to Europe for over half a century, has shrunk to just
a few dozen employees, the same two sources told Reuters.
That's down from 600 employees five years ago, at the peak
of Russian exports to Europe. The possible sale of the building
and cuts at the unit have not been previously reported.
Gazprom's media department and the Russian energy ministry did
not respond to detailed requests for comment on the story's
findings.
With no European sales, the remaining workers are focused
mainly on litigation with former EU buyers, the sources told
Reuters. Gazprom Export is "just a shell," one of the sources
said.
Alexei Grivach, from pro-Kremlin think tank the National
Energy Security Fund, said Gazprom's less glamorous focus in the
near future will be to bring gas to more Russian homes.
"Gazprom has been handed the social task of gasification and
secure gas supply to the economy and the population at low
regulated prices," he said.
Reuters spoke to three executives and half a dozen former
and current employees for this story on the depth of change at
what used to be Russia's most valuable company. All requested
anonymity, citing fear of professional repercussions.
WIDER CUTS
Gazprom's problems extend well beyond the export unit, the
conversations with the employees reveal. Two of the sources told
Reuters that Miller has now approved plans to cut 1,500 jobs at
the parent company's headquarters in Russia and Europe's tallest
skyscraper, the British-designed Lakhta Centre, also in St
Petersburg.
The dismissals at Gazprom headquarters have yet to be
announced but staff have been asked to prepare individual
presentations about why they should keep their jobs, according
to one of the sources, who said employees were told to write up
a description of their job functions in case of overlaps.
The source said the process was expected to be completed
within a few weeks.
The cuts add up to about 40% of the staff at Gazprom's
headquarters, but a small fraction of its half million strong
work force, spread across Russia.
Management misjudged how resolute European capitals would
be, according to one of the executives, who said the thinking
inside the company was that Europe would quickly be back
"begging" for Russian gas supplies to resume.
Despite the economic pain of higher energy costs, the EU has
not rolled back sanctions.
"We proved to be wrong," the executive said.
U.S. gas exporters quickly moved to replace Russian gas in
Europe. The U.S. has become the biggest exporter of LNG to the
continent, with supplies tripling since 2021. Europe still buys
Russia's sea-borne liquefied natural gas (LNG), but mainly from
Gazprom's rivals, Novatek's Yamal LNG plant.
The European Union aims to end its use of Russian fossil
fuels by 2027 and its overall gas consumption has decreased in
part due to a shift to renewable energy sources.
Last year, Gazprom posted a net loss of $7 billion for 2023,
its first since 1999, the year Putin came to power. It posted
another loss in the first 9 months of 2024, the latest period
for which figures are available.
Gazprom's share price fell in mid-December to its lowest
since January 2009, touching 106.1 roubles, a decline of more
than a third since the start of 2024.
A few months after announcing the annual loss, Gazprom said last
year it was selling a portfolio of high-end properties that
include well-known luxury hotels in Moscow and in Armenia's
Valley of Flowers.
Gazprom has a long history of investing in luxury property,
which it uses to reward employees with holidays, and to host
conferences and events such as the 2014 Olympic Games.
TRUMP TRADE
The return of Donald Trump to the White House has helped
Gazprom's share price recover to around 180 roubles on hopes a
swift Ukrainian peace deal would lead to the restoration of
exports to Europe, Alpha Bank said in a note last month.
However, there are few signs the continent will rush to again
tie itself to Russian gas, despite a Financial Times report that
a long-time ally of Putin is lobbying the United States to allow
investors to restart the $11 billion Nord Stream 2 pipeline that
carried gas from Russia via Germany. Germany says it will stick
with its policy of independence from Russian energy.
Even if there were appetite, Nord Stream is out of service
and partly damaged.
Cederic Cremers, executive vice president of integrated gas
at Shell, said in late February at the International Energy week
conference in London in response to whether Russian pipeline gas
could return to Europe: "That depends on a lot of things."
He cited multiple arbitration cases with Gazprom and asked
"will customers and Europe still want the same dependence on
Russian gas?"
Gazprom's share in EU markets has shrunk to 7% from over 35%
before EU sanctions, European Commission data shows.
Its market capitalisation as of Wednesday stands at around
$46 billion, down from the all-time high of $330.9 billion in
2007, according to the Moscow stock exchange, Gazprom and
Reuters calculations.
MILLER'S TIME
As the company adjusts to its new role as a domestic gas
supplier, the lofty ambitions of CEO Miller have been dashed. In
2007, Miller said the company would eventually have a market
capitalisation of $1 trillion.
At the time this seemed possible. Russia holds a fifth of
the planet's gas resources, rendering Gazprom the world's
largest natural gas company by reserves.
At its height, Gazprom - formed in the Soviet Union from the
Ministry of the Gas Industry - generated revenues that accounted
for over 5 percent of Russia's $2 trillion annual gross domestic
product.
The company has been run by Miller, a close friend of Putin
since the Russian president was mayor of St Petersburg in 1990s,
for the past 24 years. Miller has been on the U.S. sanctions
list since 2018, barring U.S. citizens and entities from any
dealings with him.
Gazprom controls entire towns in Siberia and the Arctic such as
Nadym where tens of thousands of employees and their families
depend on it as the sole employer. Yury Shafranik, Russian fuel
and energy minister from 1993 to 1996, told Reuters in 2023 that
Gazprom had been a "state within a state."
The sources Reuters spoke to did not describe plans for job
cuts or the closure of production assets in such company towns.
A STEPPE TOO FAR?
Putin's long-term promise to replace Europe's markets with
exports to China look optimistic at best. Even the most
ambitious projects currently being considered to pipe gas
eastward would not amount to half of the previous annual peak
exports of 180 billion cubic meters (bcm)
Much of Russia's gas went through pipelines to Europe. When
Germany and other European countries stopped buying it, there
was nowhere else for the surplus to go.
In contrast, Russia's oil exporters have been able to redirect
tankers to refineries in Asian countries that have not imposed
sanctions.
Although gas production recovered slightly last year from a
record low in 2023 on increased domestic demand and exports to
China, there is little pipeline capacity to expand that trade.
For now there is only one route for Russia to supply
pipeline gas to China - the Power of Siberia pipeline, which
transports 38 bcm per year.
A second smaller pipeline with a capacity of 10 bcm per year
is under construction, set to connect the Pacific island of
Sakhalin to China by 2027.
Russia and China have been in talks for over a decade about
building a third pipeline, the Power of Siberia 2, to carry 50
bcm and meet over a tenth of Chinese gas consumption. This plan
would take years to fully develop and discussions have stalled
due to price differences, according to media reports.
In May, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said
Russia and China expected to a sign a contract "in the near
future" on the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline.
Putin and China's President Xi Jinping discussed Power of
Siberia-2 in January, news agency Interfax reported, but no
agreement has been reached.
China National Petroleum Corporation, which is dealing with
Gazprom, declined to comment on the talks. The government of
Russia did not respond to a request for comment.
Even if the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline were completed
quickly, volumes and pricing terms are likely to be much lower
than past exports to Europe, analysts from the Center on Global
Energy Policy at Columbia University.
"By 2030, Russian gas export revenues might fall by 55-80
percent compared to 2022, a year of record-high revenues for the
Russian gas industry, at $165 billion," they said in a research
note last year.