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GM doubles share of U.S. EV sales to 12% in 2024
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GM credits broad EV lineup for sales surge
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EV sales still only about 6% of overall deliveries
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Trump's plan to kill EV subsidies would test GM's EV
momentum
By Kalea Hall
DETROIT, Feb 28 (Reuters) - General Motors ( GM ) has spent
billions over decades trying to blaze an electric trail,
releasing pioneering EVs and hybrids that ultimately failed to
achieve mass-market sales before being scrapped. This time might
be different.
Last year, the U.S. auto-sales leader boosted electric
vehicle sales and seized market share from the likes of Tesla
despite slowing demand as its customers increasingly chose EVs
over comparable GM gas-powered models.
The progress - driven by an expanding EV lineup that will
soon include a dozen models - signals that GM could for the
first time convince more mainstream buyers to go electric, four
industry analysts said.
GM's fourth-quarter share of U.S. EVs hit 12% - double a
year earlier and second only to Tesla at 44.4%,
according to auto services specialist Cox Automotive.
Sales of GM's Cadillac Lyriq EV tripled last year to 28,402,
outpacing each of its XT4, XT5 and XT6 gasoline SUVs. Sales of
its lower-priced Chevrolet Equinox and Blazer EVs accounted for
22% and 40% respectively of total fourth-quarter deliveries
under the same model name.
The growth underscores GM's stubborn commitment to EVs,
despite heavy losses and a trend among rivals including Ford
and Toyota ( TM ) to prioritize gas-electric hybrids.
Analysts credited GM's EV surge to its growing number of
competitive models - from entry-level to premium - giving its
customers more electric options than rivals. Tesla, for example,
has five models and only two volume sellers.
GM global markets chief Rory Harvey cited the same reason in
an interview with Reuters.
"We've got the broadest lineup out there, and we definitely
have momentum," he said. "And we all know that the automotive
industry is a momentum game."
ACID TEST
Aggressive pricing also played a role in the form of
low-payment leases that often made GM EVs cheaper than its
comparable fuel-powered vehicles, according to industry analysts
and two GM dealers.
Such cheap EV leases, common industry-wide, were made
possible largely by a $7,500 subsidy that U.S. President Donald
Trump is expected to end along with a host of other pro-EV
policies. GM would also be vulnerable to Trump's threatened 25%
tariffs on Canada and Mexico because it makes hundreds of
thousands of cars in Mexico - including the Blazer and Equinox
EVs.
Industry experts said political and EV market headwinds will
make 2025 an acid test for whether GM can sustain its momentum
and hit a tipping point in its long and expensive history of
electrification efforts. One pivotal moment will come later this
year as GM launches the next-generation Bolt, expected to be its
most affordable EV at about $30,000.
"This year is critical for them," said Paul Waatti, industry
analysis director at research firm AutoPacific.
GM has historically been first out the gate with innovative
electrified cars only to stumble in launches dating back to its
1997 EV1, a futuristic pill-shaped two-door. GM also introduced
the first mass-produced plug-in hybrid, the 2011 Volt, and
followed up with the all-electric 2017 Bolt, the only relatively
affordable EV at the time. All were discontinued without
achieving volume sales.
Despite its recent progress, GM still faces immense
challenges in delivering on CEO Mary Barra's past pledge of an
all-electric fleet by 2035. EVs only comprised about 6% of GM's
overall fourth-quarter sales, which continue to rely on large
trucks and SUVs that are among the hardest vehicles to
electrify, industry experts say.
PROGRESS TOWARD PROFIT
Instead of just one Volt or Bolt, GM now offers 10 models,
from the affordable Equinox crossover to six-figure SUVs.
Cadillac just launched its Optiq compact electric SUV, which
will be followed soon by a three-row Vistiq and lower-priced
electric pickups.
GM says it's also getting closer to making EV profits. CFO
Paul Jacobson has said GM plans to narrow EV losses by about $2
billion in 2025, without disclosing total annual losses. That
estimate, however, depends on continued EV sales growth, which
could prove hard if Trump guts EV purchase and lease subsidies.
Losing the $7,500 incentive could tank EV sales unless
automakers cut prices, said Ivan Drury, director of insights for
automotive research firm Edmunds.
"We know what happens if you don't provide it," he said of
EV subsidies and discounts. "You don't sell."
GM said it had not decided whether to lower prices if the
subsidies end and that it would wait to assess consumer and
competitor reactions. GM nonetheless takes a "very long-term
view" of its EV commitment, said spokesman Jim Cain.
A $7,500 EV lease incentive has been key to low-payment
deals to persuade skeptical EV shoppers. More than 70% of EVs
were leased last year at dealerships, including 55% of GM's
electric vehicles, Edmunds data shows.
"It's really the lease offer that makes the big difference,"
said Jeff Laethem, at Detroit's Ray Laethem Motor Village, which
includes a Buick and GMC store. For some premium models, it's a
$700 monthly payment for a $100,000 vehicle, he said.
EVS OVER HYBRIDS
GM continues to bet big on EVs at a time when rivals such as
Ford and Toyota ( TM ) have focused more on hybrids - a decision that
has paid off for them as consumers turn to hybrids in droves to
avoid the cost and charging hassles of EVs.
Toyota ( TM ) has long dominated the hybrid market and sells few
EVs, arguing that EV technology isn't yet advanced or affordable
enough for most customers. Hybrids represented more than 40% of
Toyota's ( TM ) 2.3 million U.S. deliveries last year. Ford's hybrid
sales jumped 40% to about 187,000, nearly double its EV sales of
some 98,000.
GM, by comparison, sold 114,432 EVs. The automaker plans to
offer plug-in hybrids for 2027 as a short-term strategy to meet
emissions regulations but has no plans to make traditional
hybrids, which cost less and don't need charging.
"Ultimately, we believe that EVs are going to be the way
forward," GM's Harvey said, "complemented with some hybrids."
At a New York industry conference in February, CEO Barra
called hybrids an interim solution, arguing that developing a
vehicle with two propulsion systems - gas and electric - is an
inefficient use of capital.
GM might be better off sticking to EVs in part because it
would now take substantial investment in hybrid powertrains to
steal sales from entrenched competitors, said David Whiston, an
automotive stock strategist at Morningstar Research.
"It would be hard for GM to compete head-on with Toyota ( TM ) in
hybrids," he said.
GM officials argue it's not missing out on sales in the
hybrid boom because it offers other fuel-saving technologies,
such as diesels and small, turbocharged gasoline engines.
THE TRUCK DILEMMA
The biggest obstacle to GM's all-electric ambitions,
however, might be its own lucrative business in full-sized
pickups and SUVs.
GM's ambitions for a rapid electric truck transition have so
far clashed with the challenges of making them affordable and
capable enough to sell in large volumes. In 2022, GM planned
annual capacity for 600,000 electric trucks at its Detroit
Factory Zero plant and another factory it planned to reopen in
nearby Orion Township. It has repeatedly delayed the Orion
reopening, now scheduled for mid-2026.
GM started delivering the Silverado EV RST First Edition,
priced at $94,500, in mid-2024. But it sold just 9,000 electric
Silverado and Sierra pickups last year out of about 900,000
total. Rivals' electric trucks introduced before last year -
Ford's F-150 Lightning and Tesla's Cybertruck - had about 33,000
and 39,000 sales in 2024, respectively, but the overall electric
truck segment remains tiny.
This year, GM hopes to boost sales with two new trim levels
starting at about $57,000 and $73,000.
One drag on EV pickup sales is the fact that carrying or
towing heavy payloads can dramatically reduce their driving
range, requiring constant recharging.
Seeking more range, automakers have added larger batteries,
but that makes EV trucks extremely expensive, said Sam
Abuelsamid, vice president of market research for Telemetry
Insights.
GM's highly profitable truck-and-SUV business has been
pivotal in helping GM finance money-losing forays into EVs and
autonomous vehicles. But it will struggle to squeeze the same
profits from electric trucks, Abuelsamid said.
"For the foreseeable future," he said, "they're probably not
going to be able to get the same margins - not unless we have
some major breakthrough on the battery front."