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Leaders, former leaders and diplomats meet Trump
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Saudi Arabia's crown prince called him, source says
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Worried about tariffs, Germany met Republican governors
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Mexican candidate to tailor envoy choice if Trump wins,
sources
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Rudd pushed Canberra to Trump-proof submarine deal
(Adds comment from South Korea's foreign ministry in paragraph
56)
By Alexander Ratz, Diego Oré and Gram Slattery
BERLIN/MEXICO CITY/WASHINGTON, April 24 (Reuters) -
G ermany is waging a charm offensive inside the Republican Party.
Japan is lining up its own Trump whisperer. Mexican government
officials are talking to Camp Trump. And Australia is busy
making laws to help Trump-proof its U.S. defense ties.
Everywhere, U.S. allies are taking steps to defend or
advance their interests in the event former President Donald
Trump returns to power in November elections, an even chance
based on recent opinion polls in swing states.
They want to avoid the cold slap that Trump's "America
First" policies dealt them last time around, which included
trade wars, a shakeup of security alliances, an immigration
crackdown and the withdrawal from a global climate accord.
Reuters spoke to diplomats and government officials in five
continents about preparations for Trump 2.0. It uncovered
Mexican deliberations over a new, Trump-savvy foreign minister,
an Australian envoy's role in rushing to protect a submarine
deal, and a German official's talks with Republican state
governors.
Some foreign leaders have contacted Trump directly despite
the risk of irking his election rival, Democratic President Joe
Biden. Saudi's crown prince recently phoned Trump, a source with
knowledge of the conversation said; while Hungary's prime
minister and Poland's president met him in person in recent
weeks.
British Foreign Minister David Cameron also held talks with
Trump this month at his Florida resort. He told reporters in
Washington afterwards that his meeting was a private dinner
where they discussed Ukraine, the Israel-Gaza war, and the
future of NATO.
The White House referred Reuters to comments by spokesperson
Karine Jean-Pierre in which she said meetings such as the one
held by Cameron were not uncommon. She declined to answer
questions about Trump's meeting with Orban or the Saudi call,
which was first reported by the New York Times.
The Saudi government's media office and the Trump campaign
did not respond to requests for comment about the call
The campaign said he discussed security issues with each of the
European leaders, including a proposal by Polish President
Andrzej Duda that NATO members spend at least 3% of gross
domestic product on defense. Currently, they aim to spend 2%.
Jeremi Suri, a presidential historian at the University of
Texas, said meetings between candidates and diplomats were
normal, but said he thought Trump's meeting with Orban and the
call with Saudi Arabia's Mohammed Bin Salman were unusual.
Trump adviser Brian Hughes said: "Meetings and calls from
world leaders reflect the recognition of what we already know
here at home. Joe Biden is weak, and when President Trump is
sworn in as the 47th President of the United States, the world
will be more secure and America will be more prosperous."
The campaign did not respond in detail to questions about
the other findings in this story, but campaign spokesperson
Karoline Leavitt said: "America's allies are anxiously hoping
that President Trump will be re-elected."
GERMANY'S "BYPASS DIPLOMACY"
Much of the Trump outreach has been less direct than
meetings with the candidate.
Germany has been building bridges with Trump's Republican
base at a state level, reminding party officials that it invests
heavily in U.S. industry.
Mindful that Trump threatened punitive tariffs on Germany's
car industry while president, and now wants to slap a minimum
10% tariff on all imports if returned to office, Germany is
using a transatlantic coordinator to ready for Trump 2.0.
As coordinator, Michael Link is leading what Berlin calls
"bypass diplomacy", crisscrossing the union, targeting swing
states where Germany is a heavy investor.
"It would be extremely important, if Donald Trump were
re-elected, to prevent the punitive tariffs he is planning on
goods from the EU," he told Reuters.
He said he had met Republican governors of Oklahoma,
Arkansas, Alabama and Indiana. At each stop, he explains why
good trade ties underpin Germany's U.S. presence. The biggest
exporter of U.S.-made cars is BMW, and Germany says it
employs 860,000 Americans directly and indirectly.
Link has also been meeting Democratic officials, but
lobbying those who can influence Trump is his priority.
Reuters could not determine if Trump was aware of Berlin's
approach.
TRUMP-FRIENDLY FACES
In Mexico, government officials have been meeting people
close to Trump on issues including migration and the trafficking
of fentanyl, a synthetic opioid, into the United States, both
issues where Mexico could face more U.S. pressure under another
Trump administration, according to two Mexico-based sources.
Trump has said he would order the Pentagon "to make
appropriate use of special forces" to attack cartel leadership
and infrastructure, which would be unlikely to get the blessing
of the Mexican government.
The Mexican officials also discussed the North American free
trade deal, last rewritten under the Trump presidency in 2020
and up for review in 2026, the sources added. Trump has praised
his rewrite of that deal in recent public remarks.
And in a sign of how much personal relationships matter
under Trump, Mexico's ruling party is considering alternative
candidates to appoint as the next foreign minister depending on
whether Trump or Biden looks most likely to win, said two
sources familiar with the deliberations.
Mexico holds its own presidential election in June. If
ruling party candidate Claudia Sheinbaum wins, as currently
expected, she would take office in October, a month before the
U.S. election. If polls point to a Trump win, she is likely to
choose Marcelo Ebrard as her foreign minister, the sources said.
Ebrard served as Mexican foreign minister during Trump's
presidency and was generally regarded at home as having held his
own in dealings with the administration.
If Biden wins, she is more likely to choose political
veteran Juan Ramon de La Fuente, the sources said.
Sheinbaum's campaign said she was not yet ready to announce
her pick. A spokesperson for Ebrard said he was focused on a
Senate bid and supporting Sheinbaum's presidential run. De La
Fuente did not respond to a request for comment.
JAPAN'S TRUMP WHISPERER
To bolster its diplomatic engagement with the Trump camp,
Japan is preparing to deploy Sunao Takao, a Harvard-educated
interpreter who helped former prime minister Shinzo Abe bond
with Trump over games of golf.
Another ex-prime minister of Japan, Taro Aso, met Trump in
New York on Tuesday, according to a campaign official.
America's closest ally in Asia worries Trump may revive
trade protectionism and demand more money for the upkeep of U.S.
forces in Japan, government officials say.
Britain's Labour party, now in opposition but strong
favorite to win elections expected by year-end, may have a
steeper hill to climb to reach a good relationship with a Trump
administration.
Labour's nominative foreign minister, David Lammy, once
wrote in Time magazine that Trump was a "woman-hating, neo-Nazi
sociopath". Lammy is now working to build ties with Republicans,
said a Labour official.
Lammy has met Republican figures seen as candidates for
roles in a Trump cabinet, including Mike Pompeo, a former U.S.
Secretary of State under Trump, the Labour official said.
Lammy declined to be interviewed but has said many British
politicians criticized Trump and he would represent British
interests as foreign minister regardless of who occupies the
White House.
Victoria Coates, a former deputy national security adviser
under Trump, said a Labour victory could mean a rough patch for
U.S.-UK relations if Trump wins, citing "personal vitriol" on
the part of Labour.
A representative for Pompeo declined to comment.
ANXIETY DOWN UNDER
Australia's U.S. ambassador, Kevin Rudd, recently drew
Trump's ire over past criticism of the former president.
In a broadcast interview last month, Trump said he had heard
that Rudd, an ex-prime minister, was "a little bit nasty" and
that: "If he's at all hostile, he will not be there long."
Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong has defended Rudd, saying
he would stay as ambassador if Trump won back power.
Behind the scenes, Rudd is trying to protect a key defense
deal from being unwound by Trump, an Australia-based diplomatic
source said.
The Biden administration has agreed to help Australia take
its first step toward developing a fleet of nuclear-powered
submarines by selling Canberra three to five Virginia-class
attack submarines.
Rudd has pushed Canberra to act fast on enacting legislation
that moves it closer to U.S. arms-control standards and sets up
a special nuclear-safety body, in the hope it would make the
sale harder for Trump to unpick, the source said.
The embassy declined to comment. Canberra did not
immediately respond to a request for comment.
Michael Shoebridge, of Strategic Analysis Australia, said
Trump's "America First" could still sink the deal.
"All the levers are there for Trump to say, 'the U.S. Navy
doesn't have enough, so Australia don't get any'," the defense
expert said.
Reuters could not determine Trump's view on the matter. He
has not raised any concerns on the deal on the campaign trail.
SOUTH KOREA'S DISCREET APPROACH
A low-key way for U.S. allies to influence Trump is via
lobbyists, especially if they want to be discreet.
A former South Korean government official, now based in
Washington, said the Biden administration was watching foreign
governments closely and that Seoul preferred to understand
Trump's thinking via lobbying firms in a "stealthy manner".
Washington's lobbyist district is buzzing with South Koreans
keen to understand Trump's views on trade and investment,
including what would happen to Biden's Inflation Reduction Act
(IRA), a South Korean government official said.
South Korea's foreign ministry said it was working with its
local missions to prepare for the election and its aftermath but
that it had not hired lobbyists for specific candidates.
IRA supports the re-shoring of manufacturing and the energy
transition. Trump also backs re-shoring but not Biden's push to
switch from fossil fuels to green power.
Some U.S. allies are using lobbyists linked to Trump,
including Ballard Partners, run by Brian Ballard, a Florida
lobbyist who is sought out for his close links to Trump.
Ballard's clients include Japan and the Democratic Republic
of Congo, according to the firm and U.S. disclosure filings. It
declined to name others.
"Many members of our firm have been longtime allies of the
former president," said Justin Sayfie, a partner with Ballard.
Japan's foreign ministry said it sought advice and support
from a wide range of experts. It declined to comment on the
relationship with Ballard. Congo did not immediately respond to
a request for comment.