*
Nissan's ( NSANF ) pride and denial hindered merger talks, sources
say
*
Honda ( HMC ) pushed Nissan for deeper cuts to jobs, factory
capacity,
sources say
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Nissan unwilling to consider factory closures, sources say
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Honda's ( HMC ) proposal to make Nissan a subsidiary caused
tensions,
sources say
By Maki Shiraki, Daniel Leussink, Norihiko Shirouzu
TOKYO, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Nissan was deep in
trouble late last year when rival Honda ( HMC ) offered a
lifeline: a $60 billion tie-up that would help both Japanese
automakers compete against the Chinese brands upending the car
industry.
Years of faltering sales and management turmoil had left Nissan
a diminished force, especially after it underestimated demand
for hybrids in the U.S., its top market.
But the merger talks unravelled in a little more than a
month due to Nissan's ( NSANF ) pride and insufficient alarm about its
predicament, as well as Honda's ( HMC ) abrupt decision to revise the
terms and propose that Nissan become a subsidiary, according to
six people familiar with the matter.
Nissan, which for years until 2020 was Japan's
second-largest automaker behind Toyota, insisted on receiving
near-equal treatment in the talks despite its weaker position,
three of the people said.
Honda ( HMC ) pressured Nissan to make deeper cuts to its workforce
and factory capacity, but Nissan was unwilling to consider
politically sensitive factory closures, three of the sources
said. They said they were left with the impression Nissan felt
it could recover on its own, despite its mounting difficulties.
That intransigence, combined with what Honda ( HMC ) management saw
as Nissan's ( NSANF ) slow decision-making, helped torpedo a deal that
would have created one of the world's largest automakers, three
people said.
This account of the forces that scuttled the mega merger
features previously unreported information, including details
about factories Nissan wanted to keep open, its resistance to
Honda's ( HMC ) pressure for deeper cuts, and the reaction inside Nissan
to some of Honda's ( HMC ) demands. The story is based on Reuters
interviews with more than a dozen people, all of whom spoke on
the condition of anonymity because of the topic's sensitivity.
The reporting sheds new light on the thinking inside Nissan as
it faces a deepening crisis. The storied carmaker now faces the
added threat of U.S. tariffs on vehicles made in Mexico, which
account for more than a quarter of its U.S. sales. Both Nissan
and Honda ( HMC ) are due to report earnings on Thursday.
"I think it's a management problem," said Julie Boote,
analyst at research firm Pelham Smithers Associates, about the
turmoil at Nissan. "They're completely overestimating their
position and their brand value, and their ability to turn around
the business."
Nissan and Honda ( HMC ) declined to comment on the specific aspects
of the talks as described by Reuters sources.
Nissan CEO Makoto Uchida visited his counterpart Toshihiro
Mibe last week to say he wanted to end discussions after Honda ( HMC )
made the subsidiary proposal.
Both automakers have said they would provide an update this
month.
TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE
Nissan stunned investors in November when it cut its profit
forecast by 70% due to worsening sales in China and the United
States. Its announced a turnaround plan that involved cutting
9,000 jobs and one-fifth of global capacity, which some analysts
saw as too little, too late.
Uchida promised to forfeit half his pay and said he was
focused on making the business leaner and more resilient.
In December, Nissan and Honda ( HMC ) announced plans to merge, an
outgrowth of talks they had been holding since March 2024, when
they said they were looking to cooperate on technology.
But the merger discussions quickly hit a wall over
calculating the shareholding ratio for the combined company, two
of the people said.
In private, Uchida exhibited doubts about the deal's
prospects, one of the people said. Honda ( HMC ) managers complained
that Nissan's ( NSANF ) decision-making was too slow, four people said. A
public update on the talks was originally set for the end of
January before being pushed back to mid-February.
Honda ( HMC ) managers felt Nissan's ( NSANF ) turnaround strategy lacked
details and were frustrated by what they saw as an insufficient
reduction in factory capacity, two sources said.
Reuters could not determine whether Honda ( HMC ) requested a
certain number of job cuts or identified specific factories for
capacity reductions.
Nissan didn't want to shut factories because that would
force a write-down of their value on paper and hurt its
earnings, one person said.
The job cuts already promised as part of Nissan's ( NSANF ) turnaround
plan amounted to 7% of its global workforce. It was telling, one
person said, that Honda ( HMC ) had cut more people in China over the
last two years.
Honda ( HMC ), for its part, appeared unwilling to budge on its
plans, implying it didn't consider Nissan an equal, one person
familiar with Nissan's ( NSANF ) thinking said.
KYUSHU VISIT
In late January, Nissan executive Hideyuki Sakamoto visited
the southwestern island of Kyushu to announce plans for a
battery EV plant that would create 500 jobs.
Flanked by local politicians, Sakamoto said the automaker
wouldn't reduce capacity at its existing Kyushu plant, either.
Kyushu was a "highly competitive base geopolitically" and
important for future EV plans, he said.
The day after Sakamoto's visit to Kyushu, Honda's ( HMC ) Mibe told
Uchida that Nissan would need to become a Honda ( HMC ) subsidiary, a
stipulation not in the original merger memorandum of
understanding the two companies signed late last year, according
to one person.
Reuters could not determine whether Mibe's move was
triggered by Nissan's ( NSANF ) announcements in Kyushu. Nevertheless, the
Kyushu trip crystallised the tensions between the companies over
the best way forward.
Kyushu wasn't the only plant that Nissan considered
untouchable. Smyrna in Tennessee, Aguascalientes in Mexico and
Britain's Sunderland were all seen as critical to the company's
EV strategy, and the automaker didn't want to close them or
reduce their lines, one source said.
Honda's ( HMC ) abrupt change to the deal's structure reflected its
mounting impatience with Nissan over the pace of negotiations,
two people said.
Nissan was blindsided by that move, given that it went
against the previously agreed memorandum, two of people said.
Inside Nissan, the proposal was seen as "outrageous" and an
affront to the dignity of Nissan, the older automaker, one
person said.
Renault, Nissan's ( NSANF ) top shareholder, said while it was not
privy to the discussions, the latest information suggested the
transaction would result in a "takeover of Nissan by Honda ( HMC )
without a control premium for Nissan shareholders". Such an
outcome was "not acceptable", Renault said, adding it would
"vigorously defend" its interests.
NEW PARTNERS
It's not clear what, if anything, could bring the automakers
back to the table. It seems likely they would revert to their
original agreement to team up on technology, three of the people
said.
If both companies agree to end the discussions, neither
would be liable for a 100 billion yen ($650 million) break-up
fee, according to their December memorandum of understanding.
Nissan is open to working with new partners, including Foxconn
, the Taiwanese contract manufacturer that makes
Apple's iPhones, Reuters has reported. Foxconn did not respond
to a request for comment.
Foxconn Chairman Young Liu said on Wednesday that its aim was to
cooperate with Nissan, not acquire it.
The Taiwanese company's EV business is led by former Nissan
executive Jun Seki, who at one point was seen by insiders as a
contender to become the carmaker's CEO.
Foxconn would likely be a more generous suitor than Honda ( HMC )
because it needs a brand name in the auto industry, and Nissan
could be attractive, said Amir Anvarzadeh, a strategist with
Japan equity advisory firm Asymmetric Advisors.
"No matter what you think about their cars and their balance
sheet and so forth, at least the brand is still fairly
recognisable," he said of Nissan.
So far, Japan's government has given little sense of how it
sees the breakdown in talks between Honda ( HMC ) and Nissan, nor
whether it would be open to an acquisition of Nissan by Foxconn,
which is also the top shareholder in consumer electronics
company Sharp Corp.
For Nissan, the question now is what management will do,
said Boote.
"They don't have a realistic view of what's happening in the
auto industry and what really needs to happen with Nissan."
($1 = 153.5600 yen)