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Key assisted driving equipment costs 20-40% lower in
China:
study
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BYD, others offer advanced driver-assistance as standard
feature
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Tesla charges 64,000 yuan (nearly $9,000) for FSD in China
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BYD's scale seen as advantage in 'training' assisted
driving
system
By Norihiko Shirouzu
AUSTIN, Texas June 10 (Reuters) - Chinese
electric-vehicle makers led by BYD beat Tesla in the
competition to produce affordable electric vehicles. Now, many
of those same fierce competitors are pulling into the passing
lane in the global race to produce self-driving cars.
BYD shook up China's smart-EV industry earlier this year by
offering its "God's Eye" driver-assistance package for free,
undercutting the technology Tesla sells for nearly $9,000 in
China.
"With God's Eye, Tesla's strategy starts to fall apart," said
Shenzhen-based BYD investor Taylor Ogan, an American who has
owned several Teslas and driven BYD cars with God's Eye, which
he called more capable than Tesla's "Full Self-Driving" (FSD).
It's not just BYD. Other Chinese auto and tech
companies are offering affordable EVs with FSD-like technology
for a relative pittance. China's Leapmotor and Xpeng ( XPEV ), for
instance, offer systems capable of highway and urban driving in
$20,000 vehicles. A slew of Chinese firms are chasing the same
technology, an industry push backed by China's government.
BYD's assisted-driving hardware costs are far lower than
Tesla's, according to analyses performed for Reuters by
companies that dismantle and analyze vehicles for automakers.
The comparisons, which have not been previously reported, show
that BYD's costs to procure components and build a system with
radar and lidar are about the same as Tesla's FSD, which doesn't
have such sensors. That undercuts Tesla's unusual technological
approach, which aims to save costs by nixing such sensors and
relying solely on cameras and artificial intelligence.
The rising competition from Chinese smart-EV players is among
the chief problems confronting Tesla CEO Elon Musk after his
rocky tenure as a Trump administration advisor as he refocuses
on his business empire - as Tesla vehicle sales are tanking
globally. The stakes are made higher by a moment-of-truth
challenge this month in Tesla's home base of Austin, Texas,
where it plans to launch a robotaxi trial with 10 or 20 vehicles
after a decade of Musk's unfulfilled promises to deliver
self-driving Teslas.
Tesla did not respond when reached for comment about its
Chinese competitors. Previously, Musk has described Chinese car
companies as the most competitive in the world.
Chinese competition was one factor driving Tesla's strategic
pivot away from mass-market EVs last year, when Reuters reported
it had killed plans to build an all-new EV expected to cost
$25,000. Musk has since staked Tesla's future instead on
self-driving robotaxis, the hopes for which now underpin the
vast majority of the automaker's stock-market value of
roughly $1 trillion.
Now Tesla faces the same stiff competition on vehicle autonomy
from many of the same Chinese automakers who undercut its
affordable-EV plans. Adding to the challenge are tech firms
including Chinese smartphone giant Huawei, which supplies
autonomous-driving technology to major Chinese automakers. Short
of full autonomy, today's driver-assistance systems offer a
critical competitive edge in China, the world's largest car
market, where Tesla sales are falling amid a protracted price
war among scores of homegrown EV brands.
Tesla is further handicapped by China's regulations preventing
it from using data collected by Tesla cars in China to train the
artificial intelligence underpinning FSD. Tesla has been
negotiating with Chinese officials, so far without success, to
get permission to transfer such data back to the United States
for analysis.
Tesla's competitors in China do benefit from subsidies and other
forms of policy support from Beijing for advanced assisted
driving technology. Their advantages also stem from another
consequential factor: cut-throat smart-EV competition that has
characterized their industry over the past decade. The resulting
EV boom created economies of scale and the industry's tendency
to forgo some profit margins to expand new technologies' market
penetration quickly, leading to lower manufacturing costs.
STREETS OF SHENZHEN
BYD investor Ogan, of Shenzhen-based Snow Bull Capital, has
a front-row seat to China's autonomous-tech battleground. He
recently drove several BYD models equipped with God's Eye, he
said, and didn't have to take over driving in any of them while
traveling the congested streets of Shenzhen, a bustling southern
China megalopolis of 18 million people.
Another notable smart-EV player in China is Huawei, experts
say.
Huawei lends its technology and branding to a half dozen
automakers including heavyweights Chery, SAIC and Changan, and
has lower-profile partnerships with more than a dozen other
carmakers, Huawei representatives said.
Reuters journalists rode in an Aito M9 - a luxury electric
SUV from Seres with Huawei driver-assistance technology - as it
navigated Shenzhen roadways in April. With a driver's hands off
the wheel, the vehicle exited a highway seamlessly into a
congested urban zone, where the M9 proceeded cautiously and
slowed to a crawl as a construction worker appeared like he
might walk into the roadway. At one point the vehicle turned
right and slowly drifted left to avoid two men unloading boxes
from a parked truck. The vehicle then parallel parked itself at
Huawei's Shenzhen headquarters.
Huawei was among several Chinese companies, including
automakers Zeekr, Changan and Xpeng ( XPEV ), that touted progress
towards fully-autonomous cars at April's Shanghai auto show,
even as Beijing announced a new marketing crackdown on terms
such as "smart" and "intelligent" driving in the wake of a
deadly crash in a Xiaomi vehicle involving driver-assistance
technology.
Huawei said it's ready to undergo a new validation regime
being developed by Chinese regulators to certify so-called Level
3 driving systems, meaning they are capable enough to allow
drivers to look away unless notified by the system to take over.
Zeekr, a luxury brand of China auto giant Geely, also plans to
soon sell cars with Level 3 systems.
Tesla has yet to release such an "unsupervised" version of
FSD because its technology needs more training to operate
without a driver's hands on the wheel and eyes on the road.
Tesla plans to launch self-driving robotaxis in Austin this
month. Little is known about its plans. The company has said it
aims to initially deploy between 10 and 20 fare-collecting
driverless robotaxis in restricted geographic areas of the city,
which Tesla has not publicly identified.
'GOD'S EYE' ON THE CHEAP
Chinese EV makers are moving quickly to develop
driver-assistance systems in a market where car-buyers are
demanding them at a faster pace than in other regions, analysts
say. Their ability to do so at lower costs poses the biggest
threat to Tesla's new autonomy-based business model.
BYD buyers can get an FSD-comparable version of God's Eye as
a standard feature in cars priced at about $30,000. The cheapest
FSD-equipped Tesla in China is a Model 3 selling for about
$41,500.
According to an analysis by A2MAC1, a Paris-based tear-down
firm that benchmarks components, the mid-level God's Eye version
most comparable to Tesla's FSD runs on an Nvidia computing chip
with data collected through 12 cameras, five radars, 12
ultrasonic sensors, and one lidar sensor, at a cost of $2,105.
That compares to $2,360 for Tesla's FSD, which uses cameras
without sensors and two AI chips, the firm estimates.
Cameras, radar and ultrasonic sensors are 40% cheaper in
China than comparable devices in Europe and the United States,
A2MAC1 estimates. Lidar sensors cost about 20% less, the firm
says. Sensor costs have fallen because China's EV boom created
economies of scale, said A2MAC1 engineer Elena Zhelondz. The
fierce competition also pushed carmakers and suppliers to accept
lower profits on driver-assistance equipment, she said.
BYD's 22% gross margin will likely fall as it gives away
God's Eye but it will benefit from a vehicle-sales boost, said
Chris McNally, head of global automotive and mobility research
for advisory firm Evercore.
MORE CARS, MORE MILES, BETTER AI
Falling behind the Chinese brands on driver-assistance
technology would compound Tesla's challenges in China, where
it's already losing market share to rivals including BYD, which
sells an entry-level EV for less than $10,000. The growing scale
of BYD and others could also provide a technological advantage:
Racking up more miles on China roads helps train the AI
technology needed to perfect automated-driving systems.
BYD has a "clear and ongoing market-share driving advantage"
over Tesla in gathering such on-road data to refine God's Eye,
Evercore's McNally said, adding that advantage might only
increase as offering God's Eye for free helps sell more BYD
vehicles.
BYD's scale also helps lower costs by providing uncommon
leverage over suppliers. In November, a BYD executive in charge
of passenger-vehicle operations wrote to suppliers telling them
that the automaker sold 4.2 million vehicles last year (more
than double the number of Teslas sold) because of "technical
innovation, economies of scale, and a low-cost supply chain."
The executive noted the new year would likely bring more growth,
but also fiercer competition. Without specifically mentioning
God's Eye, he ended the letter by asking the suppliers for an
across-the-board 10% price cut on all parts and systems starting
on January 1, calling the new year a final "knockout round."
(Reporting by Norihiko Shirouzu in Austin. Additional reporting
by Chris Kirkham in Los Angeles and Zoey Zhang in Shanghai.
Editing by Mike Colias, Brian Thevenot and Anna Driver.)