*
Pharmaceuticals and autos are key focus areas in US-EU
trade
talks
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Citi strategist warns positive trade developments needed
by
August 1 to sustain market gains
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S&P 500 ends week down 0.3%, near record highs
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, July 11 (Reuters) - Investors awaited tariff
news between the U.S. and European Union on Friday that could
add a potentially volatile development to the end of a week in
which President Donald Trump reignited his global trade war.
The European Union was bracing for a possible letter from
Trump outlining planned duties on the United States' largest
trade and investment partner. The U.S. president this week
outlined new tariffs on U.S. imports of goods from a number of
countries, including allies Japan and South Korea, along with a
50% tariff on U.S. imports of copper. Trump also announced a
hike to 35% on Canadian goods.
The EU initially hoped to reach a comprehensive trade deal, but
after months of difficult talks, a person with knowledge of the
U.S.-EU talks said it was hard to predict if the bloc would
receive a letter announcing more tariffs or when any agreement
might be finalised.
"We get bad news from the euro zone ... and that's clearly
going to be bad news for markets and sentiment," said Art Hogan,
chief market strategist at B Riley Wealth.
Pharmaceuticals and autos are among the areas in focus
between the U.S. and Europe, while "across the board, we do a
massive amount of trade," Hogan said.
"Right when we thought we had the exit on this trade war
highway in sight, it's getting further off in the distance, and
it's not looking prettier," Hogan said, speaking broadly.
Despite some modest rockiness this week, the benchmark S&P
500 ended down just 0.3% on the week and not far from
record-high levels. U.S. stocks have rebounded after plunging in
April following Trump's "Liberation Day" announcement of
sweeping global tariffs. Trump had paused many of those steep
tariffs but issued new levies this week with an August 1 date
for them to go into effect.
The CBOE Volatility Index, Wall Street's "fear
gauge," closed on Thursday at 15.78, its lowest closing level in
nearly five months, although it moved back above 16 on Friday.
While markets are less sensitive to headlines than a few
months ago, "we will need some positive trade developments by
the White House's August 1 deadline to hold recent equity market
gains," Citi strategist Scott Chronert said in a note on Friday.
The current weighted average tariff in the U.S. is about
16%, up from 2.5% at the start of the year, UBS economists said
on Friday. The rate would rise to about 18%, including the
country tariffs announced in this week's letters, UBS said in a
note.
The UBS economists noted the rate for the EU proposed on the
April 2 "Liberation Day" was double the rate currently faced by
the bloc.
"That increase alone would add nearly (1 percentage point)
to the weighted average tariff rate," UBS said.