PARIS, June 25 (Reuters) - The prospect of a politically
extreme party with little or no government experience taking
power after France's parliamentary elections is worrying
investors, the chief executive of Paris stock market operator
Euronext said on Tuesday.
The far-right National Rally (RN) party looks set to win the
most votes in snap parliamentary elections in the euro zone's
second-biggest economy on June 30 and July 7, with a left-wing
coalition called New Popular Front forecast to come second.
"If a team that has never governed comes to power, there is
total uncertainty, a complete unknown," Euronext CEO Stephane
Boujnah told France Inter radio in rare political comments.
As Marine Le Pen's eurosceptic, nationalist movement
appears closer to power than ever before, fuelling debates
across cafes, markets and workplaces, France's business elite
has kept largely silent.
Boujnah is the first well-known business figure to comment
on the election. No other chief of a major French company has
publicly expressed disquiet.
"There is also a lot of concern about other things that are
not economic, for example about what is happening to the unity
of French society and the risks that this unity, which could be
damaged, could have an impact on business," Boujnah added.
An IFOP opinion poll projected the RN would win 36% of votes
in the first round, ahead of the left-wing New Popular Front
(NFP) bloc on 28.5% and President Emmanuel Macron's centrist
alliance on 21%. France's voting system means the second round
can still deliver surprises.
'CIVIL WAR'
Seeking to cast their centrist camp as the last hope for
stability, Macron and his allies have turned up the volume on
warnings the country could face chaos if either of 'the
extremes' on the right or left wins power.
Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire has warned of a potential
financial crisis, while Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin has
said police were preparing for possible riots related to the
vote.
But surveys from all main polling institutes indicate the
strategy, reminiscent of the British government's communication
ahead of the 2016 Brexit vote dubbed 'project fear', is not
paying off. Macron's Together coalition remains well behind.
In the strongest comments so far, Macron said in a podcast
released on Monday that both the RN party and the New Popular
Front risked bringing "civil war" to France.
"The strategy of Mr Macron now is me or chaos," said Vincent
Martigny, political science professor at the University of Nice.
"He's playing a very dangerous game because he wants to
appear as a moderate, a stable point, but he is perceived as the
one who has been putting the French in such a messy situation."
RN leader Le Pen on Tuesday rebuffed Macron's allegations.
"I think the French have realised that the chaos is him
(Macron), he has embodied chaos since he was first elected," she
told RTL radio.
MARKET JITTERS
The president's surprise call for snap elections earlier
this month triggered a heavy selloff of French stocks and bonds.
France's economic model makes the country vulnerable when
interest rates attached to its sovereign and corporate bonds
shoot up, said Boujnah, whose company also runs stock markets in
other European hubs including Amsterdam and Milan.
"To continue to finance a system in which 58% of what we
create is injected into public spending, we have to borrow
heavily from the rest of the world. And we need the rest of the
world to give us loans," he said.
Investors and ratings agencies have raised concern about
RN's policies such as a pledge to cut value-added tax on energy
from 20% to 5.5% and to lower the legal retirement age.
So far, the party has been hesitant to put price tags on its
policies, despite promises it would keep France's state budget
within the boundaries agreed within the EU.
Jean-Philippe Tanguy, RN's financial pointman, on Tuesday
said the party's plan to reverse Macron's pension reform,
bringing the legal retirement age back to 62, would cost the
state 9 billion euros ($9.65 billion).
"It will be compensated by other measures", he told France
Inter radio, adding "our programme is balanced".
($1 = 0.9323 euros)