* Flurry of retail buying in Allbirds ( BIRD ) sets off new season
of meme stock buying
* Vanda Research says individual investors drawn to
Tesla, Palantir ( PLTR )
* Previous seasonal booms in meme stocks have failed to
deliver lasting gains
By Suzanne McGee
NEW YORK, April 17 (Reuters) - U.S. tax season is over,
but meme-stock season is just getting started.v
That is the view from Vanda Research, which tracks trading by
self-directed individual investors. The firm says it has spotted
the first signs of renewed enthusiasm for meme stocks -
companies whose shares surge on social media buzz and
speculative excitement rather than business fundamentals.
As investors become less preoccupied with the Middle Eastern
conflict "and this group of people can focus on what to do with
their tax refunds, we're starting to see some early indications
of another meme-stock summer," said Viraj Patel, global macro
strategist at Vanda.
Exhibit number one: Wednesday's eye-popping five-fold rally in
shares of Allbirds ( BIRD ) after the company formerly known for
its sneakers said it would reinvent itself as an artificial
intelligence computing infrastructure business.
Retail investors appeared to love the idea and the pending name
change of the company to NewBird AI. Even though the stock
relinquished some of its gains on Thursday, falling nearly 36%
to $10.91 a share, it remains well above its 52-week low of only
$2.15 a share.
Retail net buying of Allbirds ( BIRD ) shares on Wednesday hit a
record of $5.2 million, Vanda estimated, topping even the $5
million turnover seen on the day of its 2021 initial public
offering, when Allbirds' ( BIRD ) eco-friendly footwear fueled demand for
the stock.
"We've seen this playbook before - retail stepping in
aggressively when a 'non-tech' company pivots toward AI," Vanda
analysts said in a note on Thursday.
Patel said the signs of a broader meme-stock wave do not rest
on an outsized move in a single company. He pointed to
indications that retail investors are once again aggressively
buying long-standing favorite stocks, ranging from Tesla
and Palantir Technologies ( PLTR ) to quantum computing
firm IonQ ( IONQ ).
"These are retail favorites; meme stocks that capture the
imagination of the individual trader," Patel said.
MYSEUM SHARES SURGE
Another favorite this week was social networking firm Myseum
, whose shares rose 150% on Thursday after it announced
its own AI pivot.
A few months ago a short-lived favorite was Algorhythm Holdings ( RIME )
. The company, which just a year before was selling
karaoke machines under the name the Singing Machine Co, saw
shares briefly quadruple to $4 in February on its claim to
boost customers' freight volumes by 300% to 400% "without a
corresponding increase in operational headcount."
Meme stocks emerged as a market phenomenon during the early days
of the pandemic, when more investors stuck at home turned to
trading stocks to help fend off boredom and anxiety. But few
companies caught up in successive waves of speculation have
managed to hold onto those gains.
Shares of Opendoor Technologies ( OPEN ), one of last year's
crop of meme stocks, currently change hands at about $5.20 a
share, less than half of its 52-week high of $10.87. Beyond
Meat, which also had a moment in the meme trading spotlight, now
sees its shares languishing at only 79 cents each, down from a
52-week high of $7.69.
HOW MUCH FROTH?
The emergence of new meme stocks and firms advertising market
buzzwords often raises questions about market froth.
Allbirds' ( BIRD ) sudden rise and fall this week, for instance, prompted
some to recall the December 2017 near-tripling in shares of Long
Island Iced Tea when it announced its pivot to blockchain as
bitcoin prices hit new highs.
The company, renamed Long Blockchain, sold off its legacy
beverage assets in 2019 after bitcoin prices tumbled and it
received a delisting notice from Nasdaq.
For some investors, however, the current rally rests on a solid
backdrop of improving corporate profit expectations and a
persistent fear of missing out during a three-year-old bull
market.
"We are going to always see froth around the edges, and all
too often they coincide with market rallies," said Art Hogan,
market strategist at B. Riley Wealth. "There's a cohort of
investors who sadly always seem to want to chase the most
speculative names in the market."