DUBAI, Feb 21 (Reuters) - Saudi Aramco is forecast to
have no performance-linked dividend this year after a more
balanced 2024 cash cycle following earlier bumper results that
backed the special payout, JPMorgan ( JPM ) said in a research note on
Friday.
"The past 18M (18 months) has delivered elevated
performance-linked divs funded by premium FY22/23 financials and
we remind this cycle ends with YE24 (year-end 2024). For 2025,
we forecast no special distributions following a more balanced
2024 cash cycle," the note said.
Aramco, which reports its 2024 results on March 4, has said
it expects to declare total dividends of $124.3 billion for
2024, of which $43.1 billion would be performance-linked
dividends.
The Saudi government, which directly holds nearly 81.5% of
Aramco, relies on the company's payouts, which also include
royalties and taxes. Its sovereign Public Investment Fund
(PIF)holds another 16% of Aramco and also benefits from its
dividends as PIF spends tens of billions of dollars to try to
steer the economy away from oil.
The government last year sold a chunk of its longtime cash
cow to raise $12.35 billion from the second Aramco share
offering after its record 2019 debut.