By Savyata Mishra
Aug 1 (Reuters) - Makers of ATVs, boats and other
recreational vehicles are staring at a bleak summer as caution
around big-ticket purchases amid high interest rates has dashed
hopes of a demand recovery for big manufacturers of leisure
products.
In the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, consumers with
money to spend took advantage of low rates to buy goods many
refer to as "adult toys" - motorcycles, boats, RVs and other
vehicles that cost a lot and are often financed through loans.
The shine came off some of the companies when people
returned to international travel, but now with consumer spending
slipping, makers of the discretionary items are feeling the
pain.
Retail sales in the recreational vehicle industry for June
and July were slightly worse than what dealers experienced in
May, D.A. Davidson analyst Brandon Rolle said.
Late last month, shares of motorboats maker Brunswick
and snowmobiles manufacturer Polaris slumped after they
slashed annual forecasts after reporting a drop in
second-quarter sales and profit.
"Consumers are either maxed out or banks are hesitant to
lend at these elevated levels. All these factors have negatively
impacted the industry retail environment and resulted in a need
to lower inventory of dealerships," Polaris CEO Mike Speetzen
said on a post-earnings call.
Brunswick expects U.S. powerboat sales to a decline of
around 10% after posting a 15% drop in sales during the second
quarter, normally its peak selling season.
Several brokerages have lowered their price targets on
Brunswick and Polaris after their results. Thor Industries ( THO )
also trimmed its full-year forecast and said it expects
weakness to continue into 2025 as dealers are wary of excess
inventory.
The Canadian powersports firm BRP, which reported
results in May, also pruned its annual outlook, despite its
first-quarter profit beating estimates.
"With no signs of a seasonal uptick in demand so far, 2024
will almost certainly be a lost year and prospects for 2025 are
now coming into question," Roth MKM analyst Scott Stember said
about Brunswick.
Most companies took steps to reduce inventory.
Harley-Davidson ( HOG ) cut dealer inventories by 30% and said
it hopes retail and wholesale inventory will be balanced by the
end of the year.
"It's not just about the fact that financing the purchase is
more expensive overall, that budget suppression ...and interest
rates on other finance purchases, not to mention the fact that
there's a confidence issue there," Brunswick CEO David Foulkes
said.
So far this year, Polaris, Brunswick and Thor stocks have
lost between 12% and 16% of their value. Harley-Davidson ( HOG ) was up
2% and BRP 4%.