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Tariff threats create factory floor turmoil at US
factories
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US factories fear retaliatory tariffs from Canada and
Mexico
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US equipment makers see supply chain snarls if tariffs hit
key
North American partners
By Timothy Aeppel
Feb 10 (Reuters) - Stephen Bullock's phone rang early
Monday morning last week at his small factory in North Carolina
with an urgent message from his distributor up in Toronto who
was rattled by what looked like an unfolding U.S.-Canada trade
war.
Two of the machines Bullock's company produces - bulky
contraptions used to lay concrete curbs, highway barriers, and
sidewalks - were due to be shipped to Canada in a few weeks. Was
there any way to get the 25,000-pound machines on trucks, like,
today?
"They said get them here as quick as you can," said Bullock,
President of Power Curbers, who scrambled to pull two finished
machines destined for other buyers the next day.
By then, the panic over potential tit-for-tat tariffs
between the two neighbors had subsided - though the trucks
carrying the $350,000 machines still rolled the 700-plus miles
north.
Not even 48 hours after President Donald Trump announced 25%
tariffs on Mexico and Canada to take effect on Tuesday, the
second-term president put the levies on Canada on hold, hours
after unveiling a similar reprieve for Mexico. Canada had vowed
to retaliate with its own levies on an array of U.S. goods,
including orange juice and trucks. Bullock and his sales team
worried his machines would get caught up in the cross-border
spat.
That kind of factory floor turmoil illustrates how tariffs
can swiftly ricochet through economies, in unpredictable and
often costly ways.
Canada is the single-largest U.S. export destination among
countries, with roughly $350 billion of American goods sent
there last year, roughly 17% of total goods exports of just
under $2.1 trillion. Exports to our two bordering neighbors
totals $683.4 billion, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
Trump, on the campaign trail and in his first weeks in
office, has extolled tariffs as a tool to boost domestic
producers and fill the U.S. Treasury.
And to be sure, some manufacturers love them. Leon Topalian,
CEO of top U.S. steelmaker Nucor ( NUE ) praised Trump's tariff plans in
a brief statement released by the company last weekend. New
tariffs would have boosted steel prices, at least temporarily.
But many other business leaders and groups, including the
U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of
Manufacturers, said tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada -
parts of a close-knit North American supply chain - would hurt
many domestic producers. Even companies that sell mostly "Made
in the USA" goods often rely on Canadian and Mexican suppliers
for parts or produce some finished goods there themselves that
they sell back in the U.S.
'DEAL WITH IT'
One big risk is retaliation. When the U.S. slaps tariffs on
imported goods, the targeted countries usually hit back with
their own fees.
President Trump acknowledged last Sunday that his tariffs
may cause "short-term" pain for Americans as global markets
reflected concerns they could slow growth and fuel inflation.
Economists warn a new surge in prices could slow the Federal
Reserve's moves to cut interest rates.
Kip Eideberg, senior vice president of government relations
at the Association of Equipment Manufacturers, noted that 30% of
all the equipment made in the U.S. - everything from tractors to
bulldozers - is exported. Canada is their largest market.
"Equipment manufacturers across the board, across product
segments, are moving equipment up to Canada in anticipation of
these tariffs being levied," he said, referring to both U.S.
tariffs and expected retaliation. The levies could come back
into play in a month if a longer-term deal or another reprieve
is not reached.
Eideberg said that while there's heavy focus on the auto
industry, it's not unusual for parts or materials in his
industry to move across a North American border five times as it
goes through the production process.
Some domestic producers are resigned to rolling with the
volatility of tariff threats, even when they know they may be
hit. Speaking to investors in late January, Caterpillar ( CAT ) CEO Jim
Umpleby said: "We've been around a hundred years, and we've seen
many different administrations with different attitudes on these
issues (tariffs) - and we'll deal with it."
Jochen Zeitz, CEO of Harley Davidson ( HOG ), struck a similar tone
in an investor call last week, noting their manufacturing is
concentrated in the U.S. and even their sourcing of parts is
"U.S. centric." Even so, motorcycles were on the list of
products Canada planned to hit with retaliatory tariffs.
CLOUDING THE OUTLOOK
Some companies that stand to benefit from tariffs say
they're seeing gains even before the new taxes are implemented,
as customers increasingly look for ways to minimize their
exposure. For instance, Kaysun, a small maker of high-tech
plastic parts used in medical, industrial, automotive, and
consumer products in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, has seen more
interest from prospects looking to buy American.
Ben Harrison, the company's CEO, said he got a visit from a
company two weeks ago that currently has parts made in Mexico
and Asia. "They're looking to start bringing in products from
those countries because of higher costs," he said.
Tariffs did go up this week by 10% on U.S. imports from China,
which hasn't yet forged an agreement to postpone the taxes.
Back at Power Curbers, CEO Bullock said he's continuing to
plan for tariffs on more countries and regions, including the
European Union, another big market for his machines. The
company, which employs about 125 workers, exports to over 100
countries. Canada is its largest foreign market.
He would like to rush more goods north now, he said, but his
assembly line is constrained by the availability of parts and
the need for additional workers. To get more goods to Canada, he
said, he'll need to juggle production schedules to see if he can
postpone shipments to some domestic buyers to free up supply.
Until recently, this was shaping up to be a good year.
Bullock had projected business would grow about 10% in 2025 and
had planned to expand production in April by hiring an
additional half dozen workers.
Tariffs have cast a shadow on that. "We can't make that kind
of long-term decision," he said, "until we see how this all
plays out."