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Macro outperforms in volatile markets
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Multi-strategy funds mixed
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Stock pickers struggle as markets drop in March
(Updates with wider hedge fund results for February)
By Nell Mackenzie
LONDON, March 10 (Reuters) - Macro hedge funds taking
advantage of volatile markets have enjoyed outsized results so
far in 2025, while stock picking and multi-strategy funds have
produced mixed returns.
Numbers from hedge fund research firm PivotalPath show that
the broader hedge fund industry is up 1.3% this year, but some
funds which trade on macroeconomic signals have delivered
returns far higher.
Hedge fund EDL Capital, which trades assets such as
currencies and bonds based on global macroeconomic outlooks, has
returned nearly 17% from the start of the year to March 7, a
source with knowledge of the matter told Reuters on Monday.
The $1.3 billion fund run by star trader Edouard de
Langlade, previously at Moore Capital, finished February up 5.9%
bringing its year-to-date performance to 6.7% at that time, said
the source.
But the fund then returned another 10% in a so far volatile
March. Last week, German 10-year bonds suffered
their largest weekly sell-off since 1990 and the euro
jumped by the most since March 2009 as Germany moved to step up
defence and infrastructure spending, while the S&P 500
saw its biggest weekly fall in six months as concerns about the
U.S. economic outlook grew.
Macro hedge funds returned on average 2.3% to the end of
February, according to PivotalPath.
Hedge fund Rokos Capital Management's return on investment
was down 0.29% over the first 21 days of February but up 0.57%
for 2025 so far, a source with knowledge of the matter said.
Rokos declined to comment.
British financier Andrew Law's macro fund Caxton returned 4%
in February, bringing gains for the first two months of the year
to 7%, said another source with knowledge of the matter on
Friday. Caxton did not immediately respond to requests for
comment.
STRUGGLES
Stock picking hedge funds struggled in February and the
trend has continued in March.
Hedge funds were caught in crowded trades that sold off last
week, with global stock pickers giving up half of their gains
this year so far. Global fundamental stock pickers ended the
week with a 1% average return on the year so far, Goldman Sachs
said in a note sent to clients on Thursday.
U.S. stock pickers finished down 1.4% amid last week's
selloff, taking their year-to-date performance to negative 0.5%,
the note said.
Hedge funds that employ different kinds of trading
strategies also had "a challenging day", Goldman data showed.
This kind of hedge fund, which for the last three years has
produced consistently positive returns, has lost money on 18 out
of 29 days since January 27, said Goldman.
February left some of the biggest of these funds with mixed
returns for the year so far.
D.E. Shaw's Oculus Fund returned a negative 4.3%, taking its
year to negative 2.8% so far, a source said. D.E. Shaw declined
to comment.
Millennium Management, which has roughly $75 billion of
assets under management, was down 1.3% in February taking
year-to-date returns to a negative 0.8%, said sources with
knowledge of the matter.
Citadel was down 1.7% in February, leaving the $66 billion
firm 0.3% lower for the year to date.
Balyasny's February return was up 0.9%, with the $24 billion
firm up 3.5% so far this year. Balyasny, Citadel and
Millennium's results were first reported by Bloomberg.
Hedge fund February YTD so far
Millennium Management -1.3% -0.8%
D.E. Shaw Oculus Fund -4.3% -2.8%
Balyasny 0.9% 3.5%
Citadel -1.7% -0.3%
EDL Capital 5.9% 16.7%*
Rokos Capital Management -0.29% 0.57%
Caxton 4% 7%
CFM Discus 3.92% 7.87%
CFM Stratus 1.83% 4.45%
AQR Apex 2.8% 5.4%
* Estimate of returns as of March 7