* Maersk lifts outlook for second time this year
* Second-quarter earnings beat forecasts
* Middle East disruptions and robust demand lifted freight
rates
* Analysts warn current market strength may fade if Red Sea
traffic normalises
(Adds outlook in paragraph 4 and graphics)
By Stine Jacobsen
COPENHAGEN, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Danish shipping group Maersk
on Thursday smashed profit forecasts and raised its
full-year earnings guidance for a second time this year as the
Middle East conflict and strong demand pushed freight rates
higher.
Maersk's profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortisation (EBITDA) for April to June stood at $3.0 billion,
against a median forecast of $2.12 billion in a company-provided
poll of 11 analysts, up from $2.30 billion a year ago.
Maersk, a bellwether for global trade given its position as
the world's second-largest container shipper, in June raised its
outlook on the back of strong demand, particularly in Asia, and
said it expected global container market growth of around 4%
this year.
The company now expects underlying EBITDA of between $10.5
billion and $12.5 billion, up from a previous $8 billion to $10
billion, and underlying operating profit between $4.5 billion
and $6.5 billion, up from a previous $2 billion to $4 billion.
The shipping giant has seen rising profits from turbulence
in global trade that pushed up freight rates, including the
U.S.-Iran war, which disrupted traffic through the Strait of
Hormuz, and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea.
Some analysts have cautioned the recent strength in the
freight market is a short-term tailwind masking bigger risks
ahead, and that any normalisation of Red Sea traffic would put
significant downward pressure on freight rates.
The Asia-Europe trade corridor through the Suez Canal was
abandoned by most shippers earlier this decade after attacks in
the Red Sea by Yemen's Houthis, forcing ships to sail around
Africa's Cape of Good Hope.
The longer journeys around Africa drove up shipping rates,
making freight more expensive, but Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd ( HLAGF ) in
recent months announced that they would resume some services
through the Suez Canal as part of a gradual return.