BAMAKO, March 26 (Reuters) - Mali is forecasting a

slight recovery in industrial gold output in 2025 on the

assumption that mining giant Barrick Gold ( GOLD ) will resume

operations after a months-long standoff with the government, a

document seen by Reuters on Wednesday showed.

Production is expected to reach 54.7 metric tons of gold,

according to the document from the West African country's mines

ministry, after plunging 23% to 51.7 tons in 2024.

A major gold producer in Africa, Mali has around fifteen

operating gold mines, mainly owned by international companies

including Barrick Gold ( GOLD ), B2GOLD ( BTG ), Resolute Mining ( RMGGF )

, Endeavour Mining ( EDVMF ), and Hummingbird Resources

.

Barrick suspended operations at its Loulo-Gounkoto operation

in January after Mali's military-led government blocked

shipments from the complex and then seized three tons of gold.

Four of its employees have been detained since November on

charges including money laundering and financing of terrorism,

allegations the company denies.

Barrick signed an agreement with the government in February

to end a broader nearly two-year tax dispute. Malian

authorities, however, have yet to approve the deal.

Spokespeople for Mali's presidency and mines ministry did

not immediately respond to Reuters' requests for comment on

whether the forecast indicated the government might soon sign

the agreement.

In an interview with Reuters on Feb. 12, Barrick chief

executive Mark Bristow said operations would be able to resume

once the company could to export its gold again.

The undated ministry document bases its annual estimate on a

resumption of Barrick's activities in March, forecasting output

of 1.1 tons for the month - a target likely to be missed as the

company's operations remain suspended.

In its annual report released this month, Barrick said it

was now assuming a scenario in which production in Mali could

restart on April 1, adding however that it was not guaranteed

that a definitive agreement would be reached by that date, or at

all.

Barrick produced 0.63 tons of gold in January and none in

February, the document showed.

In December, Mali became a lithium producer with the opening

of the Goulamina Lithium mine, owned by China's Ganfeng.

The ministry expects that mine to produce 381,959 tons of

lithium spodumene in 2025, according to the document.

(Additional reporting by Divya Rajagopal in Toronto; Editing by

Portia Crowe and Joe Bavier)