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Q3 data center revenue jumps 98%
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Marvell ( MRVL ) sees Q4 revenue around $1.8 bln vs $1.65 bln
analysts'
estimate
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Marvell ( MRVL ) expects rapid growth in custom chip business
(Adds COO commentary, context in paragraphs 8-10)
By Arsheeya Bajwa and Abhinav Parmar
Dec 3 (Reuters) - Chipmaker Marvell Technology
forecast fourth-quarter revenue above estimates on Tuesday,
underpinned by robust demand for its custom artificial
intelligence chips from businesses racing to develop the most
sophisticated generative AI models.
Shares of the Santa Clara, California-based company rose
more than 8% in extended trading following the results. The
stock hit a record high during Tuesday's trading session.
Marvell's ( MRVL ) shares have risen nearly 60% this year as Wall
Street has bet heavily on soaring demand for advanced chips that
can support the complex processing needs of genAI.
Shares of larger competitor Broadcom ( AVGO ) have rallied
about 50% this year.
Marvell ( MRVL ) forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $1.80 billion,
plus or minus 5%, compared with analysts' average estimate of
$1.65 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
While the market for AI processors is dominated by Nvidia ( NVDA )
, Big Tech companies have been pushing to reduce
dependence on the chip leader's supply-constrained
semiconductors, which has benefited companies such as Marvell ( MRVL ).
Marvell ( MRVL ) helps large cloud computing companies make
custom-built processors.
It began discussing custom chips for hyper-scale data center
operators in 2020, and has rapidly grown the business into a
significant earner for the company, Marvell ( MRVL ) Chief Operations
Officer Chris Koopmans said in an interview.
"This thing we have been working on for years (has) come to
fruition," Koopmans said.
The total market for custom chips could grow to as much as
roughly $45 billion by 2028 and largely be split between Marvell ( MRVL )
and Broadcom ( AVGO ), Koopmans said.
According to estimates from research firm 650 Group's Alan
Weckel, the data center custom chip market will grow to as much
as $10 billion this year.
Revenue in Marvell's ( MRVL ) data center segment doubled to $1.10
billion in the third quarter from a year ago. Total quarterly
revenue was $1.52 billion, beating estimates of $1.46 billion.
The company said in April it expects its AI chip sales to
hit $2.5 billion by fiscal 2026.
Revenue derived from custom AI chips alone could be between
$2.5 billion and $3 billion in 2025 for Marvell ( MRVL ), with optical
equipment adding another $1.5 billion to $2 billion to AI
revenue, Jefferies analysts said in a note in October.
While the AI chip business grows, customers in the company's
other end-markets, such as wireless carriers, have been driving
down chip inventory after excessive buying during the pandemic.
Marvell's ( MRVL ) enterprise networking segment posted a 44% fall to
$150.9 million in revenue, and its carrier infrastructure
revenue slumped 73% to $84.7 million.
The company forecast an adjusted gross margin of 60% for the
fourth quarter, compared with estimates of 61%. Its custom chips
typically carry lower margins than its off-the-shelf products.
It recorded adjusted earnings of 43 cents per share in the
third quarter, beating estimates of 41 cents.