NEW YORK, Dec 16 (Reuters) - Exchange operator Nasdaq
is on track to beat the New York Stock Exchange on
listings for the sixth straight year in 2024, as Wall Street
looks for a bumper crop of initial public offerings in 2025.
Companies raised approximately $22 billion across 160
initial public offerings at Nasdaq in the first 11 months of
this year, outpacing the nearly $17 billion in 34 listings for
NYSE, according to data provided by Dealogic and Nasdaq.
This was the highest listings volume in three years. Market
watchers took it as another hopeful sign for IPO volume, which
has slumped in recent years after the Federal Reserve ramped up
interest rates in 2022 to stem surging inflation. This also
raised the cost of capital for companies.
Many believe the IPO pickup will extend into 2025, when
investors expect President-elect Donald Trump to enact policies
including deregulation that could put a charge into deals.
"We do think that conditions are right for a very robust IPO
market starting in the new year," said Jeff Thomas, global head
of listings at Nasdaq, in an interview with Reuters. "We're very
actively pitching companies that are talking about accessing the
public markets in either Q1 or Q2."
The two New York exchanges have competed fiercely for new
listings which generate annual fees. Both remain attractive
listing destinations for global companies.
Strong U.S. stock performance has bolstered investor
confidence. The S&P 500 is up nearly 27% this year, while
the Nasdaq Composite has
gained
almost 33%.
Among the companies debuting on Nasdaq this year were cold
storage real estate investment trust Lineage, the
largest IPO in 2024, healthcare payments company Waystar and
chip maker Astera Labs ( ALAB ).
Nasdaq's listings included 44 special purpose acquisition
company IPOs, which Thomas said is back to historical norms. The
exchange also snatched notable listing transfers such as
Palantir Technologies ( PLTR ) and the soup company Campbell from the
NYSE.
NYSE executives, for their part, said the comparison was one
of quantity over quality.
"We don't measure success by the number of deals we execute.
We measure it by the quality of our community," said Michael
Harris, vice chairman and global head of capital markets at
NYSE.
NYSE said 62% of Nasdaq IPOs in 2024 did not qualify to list
on its exchange, and that it added more than $400 billion in
market capitalization to include IPOs, spinoffs and transfers.
In the first half of the year, the Intercontinental
Exchange ( ICE )-owned NYSE listed seven of the 10 largest U.S.
transactions as wins, such as Rubrik ( RBRK ), a cybersecurity firm
backed by Microsoft ( MSFT ), Viking Holdings ( VIK ) and Amer Sports ( AS ).
Still, with both active and passive investment capital
rushing to Nasdaq-listed stocks and exchange-traded funds, IPO
issuers are favoring Nasdaq over the NYSE, said Samuel Kerr,
head of equity capital markets at Ion Analytics.
"With investors continuing to buy into the AI revolution
through Nasdaq-listed firms like Nvidia ( NVDA ) and companies like Peter
Thiel's Palantir ( PLTR ) shifting their listings to the exchange from
NYSE, we will continue to see more IPO issuers try to ride this
rising tide," Kerr added.
Most forecasts for a strong year depend on U.S. interest
rates falling further and the economy remaining resilient.
Several months of stalled progress on inflation have stirred
doubts over how far and how fast the Fed will be able to cut
rates in 2025.
And while U.S. growth remains strong, Trump's pledges to
enact tariffs on U.S. trading partners is seen as a potential
threat to the economy in 2025, especially if other countries
respond with retaliatory measures.
For now, however, optimism remains high.
The Nasdaq IPO Pulse Index, which forecasts the direction of
U.S. IPO activity over the next six months, hit a more than
three-year high in October, indicating IPO activity is looking
up in early 2025, according to the exchange.
"There is a lot of pent up demand that gets pushed to 2025,"
said Owen Lau, senior analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. "It should be
a big year for IPOs."