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Netflix's Scale Should Protect Its Dominance, Says Analyst
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Netflix's Scale Should Protect Its Dominance, Says Analyst
Oct 15, 2025 12:46 PM

Netflix, Inc. ( NFLX ) is facing competitive pressures amid heightened industry consolidation, following the Paramount Skydance Corporation ( PSKY ) merger and reports suggesting a possible Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. ( WBD ) acquisition bid.

Bank of America expects Netflix's ( NFLX ) third-quarter 2025 results to match guidance, forecasting revenue of $11.53 billion and operating income of $3.63 billion.

Strong Viewership Boosts Content Momentum

The firm highlighted strong content execution, with Canelo–Crawford attracting 41.4 million viewers and KPop Demon Hunters becoming Netflix's ( NFLX ) most-watched film with 325 million views.

Also Read: Netflix Launches New Party Games This Holiday Season

Analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich reaffirmed the Buy rating with a $1,490 price forecast, implying 22% upside from the Oct. 15 price of $1,219.03, citing continued subscriber and earnings momentum supported by advertising and live-event growth.

Netflix ( NFLX ) shares have fallen 4% since early September, trailing the S&P 500's 2% gain, amid renewed competition concerns and merger speculation following the PSKY deal and reports of a potential WBD bid.

The rise of AI-driven platforms such as OpenAI's Sora also adds pressure. Bank of America said Netflix's ( NFLX ) scale and tech-first model should sustain its streaming leadership.

Netflix ( NFLX ) will integrate with Amazon.com, Inc.'s ( AMZN ) DSP in the fourth quarter to expand ad-buying options. The move should strengthen ad demand as the company advances on first-party data use, measurement, and dynamic ad insertion.

Long-Term Growth Outlook Remains Solid

The bank projected earnings per share at $26.21 in 2025, rising to $32.61 in 2026 and $40.26 in 2027. Revenue is forecast to grow from $45.10 billion in 2025 to $50.74 billion in 2026 and $56.85 billion in 2027.

The price forecast is based on about 39x 2026E EBITDA, supported by a DCF model assuming a 6.5% terminal growth and 10.2% Weighted Average Cost of Capital. BofA cited competition, industry consolidation, and slower ad-tier ramp-up as key downside risks.

Price Action: NFLX shares were trading lower by 0.58% to $1208.28 at last check Wednesday.

Read Next:

These Analysts Boost Their Forecasts On Johnson & Johnson After Upbeat Q3 Earnings

Image via Shutterstock

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