July 11 (Reuters) - The rapid growth of private credit
lending beyond its traditional market presents potential future
risks to the U.S. economy due to lack of oversight and
transparency, according to a new Moody's Ratings report.
Banks in recent years have experienced a rise in competition
from private credit lenders: non-bank firms offering
non-publicly traded debt mainly to mid-sized corporate
borrowers.
Pushed by increasing demand from investors, private credit
lenders have recently branched out into alternative lending
opportunities outside of this middle-market base such as
asset-based financing, Moody's said in a report published
Thursday.
Private credit lenders have recently seen revived
competition for financing from banks, which are the traditional
lenders for leveraged buyouts and the middle-market.
PitchBook LCD data shows that banks this year through
mid-May have refinanced $14 billion of debt previously provided
by private lenders. Banks also provided $44 billion of leveraged
loans for M&A deals through May 15, roughly twice what they
financed over the same period last year, according to Pitchbook.
This has in turn eaten into returns on these investments for
private credit investors, leading lenders to find new
opportunities such as investment-grade asset-based financings.
"This highly diverse asset class - supported by far-ranging
cash flows from receivables and leases - dwarfs growth potential
for middle market lending," wrote Moody's analysts, noting that
banks have begun handing over their consumer loan portfolios to
these asset managers.
Moody's and regulators have highlighted that this "new era"
of private credit growth poses a "growing interlinkage of
risks," according to the report, especially as more banks and
insurers partner with private credit lenders or participate in
their fundraising.
A previous Moody's report emphasized the risks posed by
increasingly popular private credit evergreen funds - which
allow investors to withdraw a certain percentage of their
commitments at any time. If too many investors withdraw, asset
managers could run short on liquidity if and when they need it,
according to Moody's.
Private credit firms have also looked to grow through
purchases of insurance companies, giving private lenders
additional assets under management, Moody's said.
Four of the largest publicly-traded alternative asset
managers with private credit arms - Blackstone, KKR
, Apollo and Carlyle - grew their credit
assets under management to $1.3 trillion in the first quarter of
2024 from just $481 billion in the fourth quarter of 2019,
according to the Moody's report.
Lack of transparency remains one of the greatest challenges
posed by the market, according to Moody's. On June 5, a U.S.
appeals court vacated an SEC rule that would have provided more
information to private investors.
The recent ruling "suggests that enhanced regulatory
oversight of the private fund industry may be a distance off,"
the Moody's report noted.
Efforts persist on other fronts to address private credit's
risk, including the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners' work on rule changes which would require insurers
to increase their risk capital for certain equity holdings.