MILAN/LONDON, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Upon taking the top
job at Italian bank UniCredit in 2021, Andrea Orcel, a
veteran M&A adviser, vowed not to repeat the mistake he saw many
CEOs make: cave in to pressure to do deals.
The chance to pursue a rare cross-border European banking
marriage, a combination deemed near-impossible by friends and
foes alike, was the moment to go all in.
Orcel riled the German establishment this month by
stealthily buying a chunk of Commerzbank and pressing
for a tie-up with Germany's second-biggest publicly-traded bank.
A merger would create a new big pan-European bank that
regulators have long encouraged to better compete with Wall
Street giants, but politicians have often resisted.
"It's shrewd, it's bold, and he's determined. He doesn't
take no for an answer," said Filippo Alloatti, head of
financials credit at fund manager Federated Hermes ( FHI ), who is an
investor in both UniCredit and Commerzbank.
In preparation for a deal, Orcel has overseen a more than
four-fold increase in UniCredit's share price. UniCredit is
significantly more profitable than the German rival it has long
coveted, despite being hobbled by the higher debt costs Italy
attracts.
"There remained a big strategic question: What is
UniCredit's future going to be?" Alloatti said. "Now we have an
answer."
Orcel's plan has been slammed by German Chancellor Olaf
Scholz as an "unfriendly attack" along with the bank's board
members and employees who fear losing their jobs.
Clinching a cross-border European merger big enough to
redraw the map would offer him a second shot to show big,
complex banking deals can work.
He was a key architect of the Royal Bank of Scotland's
acquisition and breakup of Dutch ABN Amro, one of the most
disastrous deals in banking history that ended in the collapse
of both lenders in the global financial crisis.
Orcel has yet to hire an external adviser as formal merger
talks with Commerzbank are not underway, a person with knowledge
of the bank's strategy said. The 21% of Commerzbank that
UniCredit has gained exposure to with shares and derivatives for
now is just a financial investment, Orcel told a banking
conference this week.
The 61-year old has said he will walk away from a potential
deal if he cannot have it his way: "Do not underestimate how
disciplined we are," he told the event.
Yet his early moves signal a desire to forge ahead.
A source close to the bank said the backlash that followed
the unveiling of UniCredit's initial 9% stake in Commerzbank on
Sept. 11 prompted a change in tactics.
After Germany's government signalled it wouldn't sell any
more of its Commerzbank shares, UniCredit built a bigger stake
with derivatives. The European Central Bank, as the chief
regulator, needs to sign off on investors owning more than 10%
of a bank's stock.
UniCredit declined to comment for this article.
ROUTE TO THE TOP
Orcel's current and former colleagues describe a restless
and demanding style, in part behind a high turnover of top
managers and division heads at UniCredit, a sharp contrast with
the steady senior leadership of its bigger cross-town rival,
Intesa Sanpaolo.
While head of UBS' investment bank he grew impatient as he
sought to become a CEO. He left in 2018 to take up an offer to
become Santander's chief executive but the Spanish bank
withdrew its proposal in a disagreement over pay. Orcel sought
damages and was awarded millions after a public court battle.
UniCredit insiders say Orcel is fiercely private about his
decision-making and intelligence he gathers, a habit formed as
an investment banker when he wouldn't even tell his employer
what he had discussed with clients, according to one.
When he first arrived at UniCredit, one director told
Reuters of being surprised that he would not hand out hard
copies of presentations at meetings but only project slides from
his computer to protect confidentiality.
Unlike some peers, he says, he does not court political
ties. At an event in Rome last week, Orcel lined up to greet
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni but turned about when
faced with a queue, a Reuters eyewitness said.
He has repeatedly shown he won't shy away from upsetting or
challenging those in power.
He angered Rome when, in 2021, at the last minute he
abandoned a deal to buy troubled state-owned Monte dei Paschi.
More recently, UniCredit challenged the ECB over the regulator's
request that the bank reduce its business in Russia.
In his latest battle, Commerzbank's incoming CEO Bettina
Orlopp has pledged to keep the bank independent and trade unions
to fight any takeover. A German election in 2025 may stiffen
opposition even if the government, which still owns 12% of
Commerzbank, has no obvious means of blocking Orcel.
One person who has known Orcel for years and has worked for
him said he had "backed himself into a corner" in pursuing a
deal with Commerzbank amid so much opposition but he has a keen
sense of creating a legacy.
"This transaction would really be the most important
cross-border M&A that we've seen in Europe," said Luca
Evangelisti, investment manager and head of credit research at
Jupiter Asset Management.