* Novo bets new Wegovy pill and broader pipeline can help it
regain ground lost to Lilly's Zepbound
* CEO says Wegovy pill holds 90% of oral GLP-1 market
* Novo aims to launch CagriSema next year despite trial
weight loss trailing Zepbound
By Michael Erman
NEW YORK, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Novo Nordisk CEO
Mike Doustdar said investors are underestimating the demand for
differentiation among obesity drugs, and that new treatment
options like pills will keep it from becoming a winner-take-all
battle with rival Eli Lilly ( LLY ).
Novo was first to bring a highly effective GLP-1 weight-loss
injection, Wegovy, to the U.S. market, but is under pressure to
regain ground lost to Lilly's Zepbound in a business
that analysts expect will be worth more than $100 billion a year
by 2030.
Doustdar, who took the helm at the Danish drugmaker a year
ago, said that patients are just beginning to understand which
GLP-1 drug is best suited to them, and he expects more
segmentation as new medicines are approved. More than 100
million U.S. adults are classified as obese.
"Right now the investor community has thought this is
supposed to be a zero-sum game between two players - there's a
loser and a winner," Doustdar said in an interview with Reuters
on Wednesday.
"As you foresee the future of GLP-1s and obesity and
weight-loss drugs, it will not be Coke versus Pepsi. It will be
Coke and Pepsi and Fanta and Dr Pepper and Red Bull. People are
thirsty, and they can make their choices," he said.
Novo shares have fallen sharply since hitting a peak in
2024, while Lilly shares have continued to rise, pushing the
company's market capitalization above $1 trillion.
Doustdar compared his vision for Novo's obesity portfolio to
its insulin business for diabetes, where the company sells 50%
of the world's insulins across 12 different brands, rather than
dominating with one specific treatment.
"They all reduce sugar, but they do also different things.
GLP-1s all reduce weight, but they all do different things," he
said.
Novo's new pill version of Wegovy and a pipeline of
experimental drugs are a key focus for investors.
Doustdar said the Wegovy pill currently has 90% market share
in the oral GLP-1 market, in part because it has data showing
better weight loss than Lilly's Foundayo pill.
He said it was difficult to project what percentage of
patients would end up using pills, but said "we're in a very
good place if it becomes a 50-50 market" between oral
medications and injections.
Novo said in January that pills could comprise more than a
third of GLP-1 use by 2030.
Novo's experimental next-generation obesity drug CagriSema
has disappointed investors in clinical trials, helping patients
lose an average of 23% of their body weight compared to more
than 25% for Zepbound.
Doustdar said CagriSema would still offer a powerful
addition to existing treatments. The company aims to launch it
next year.
CagriSema "has been written off pretty much by all
investors," he said. "And I say to people, when is the last time
a doctor had a single medicine in their toolbox to treat
millions?"