By Arsheeya Bajwa
Aug 27 (Reuters) - AI chipmaker Nvidia ( NVDA ), the
dominating force behind the rally in the S&P 500 index
since 2023, is set to report second-quarter earnings on
Wednesday after U.S. market close. Wall Street is holding its
breath, and will scour the company's commentary for signs of a
slowdown.
Here is what to watch out for when the world's most valuable
firm reports results:
1. While investors and analysts expect Nvidia ( NVDA ) to outperform
market
expectations on Wednesday, a key question is - by how much?
After quarters of blazing triple-digit growth in 2024, the pace
of Nvidia's ( NVDA ) revenue increases has slowed and the company is
beating Wall Street estimates by smaller and smaller margins.
For its second quarter ended July, the company is expected to
report second-quarter revenue rose 53.2% to $46.02 billion,
according to LSEG data, a far cry from the 122% growth rate it
reported in the same period a year earlier. Gross margin - still
eye-popping - is shrinking too.
2. Are concerns about the AI rally overblown? OpenAI CEO Sam
Altman
recently said investors were "overexcited about AI". Tech firms
including Meta and Microsoft ( MSFT ) - big buyers of
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) chips - are spending liberally on their AI plans, and
even if they are starting to see the green shoots of returns,
the same cannot be said about most other companies. Nvidia's ( NVDA )
commentary about demand will either put investors at ease or
prompt a selloff in AI-related shares.
3. Will China buy Nvidia ( NVDA ) chips? The chipmaker recently
agreed to
pay the U.S. federal government 15% of the sales it made in
China in exchange for export licenses. But Beijing has cautioned
domestic companies to limit purchases over security concerns.
Reports have emerged that Nvidia ( NVDA ) has told some suppliers to
suspend production of its China-special H20 chips. Commentary
from Nvidia's ( NVDA ) management on the potential for selling to China
will be important for gauging future demand.
4. The company's product roadmap to address the China market
is
key, after U.S. President Donald Trump indicated he might allow
Nvidia ( NVDA ) to sell a scaled-down version of its next-generation
advanced Blackwell chip to Beijing. Reuters has reported Nvidia ( NVDA )
is developing a new AI chip for China based on the Blackwell
architecture that will be more powerful than the H20 model it is
currently allowed to sell there.
5. Supply of Nvidia's ( NVDA ) latest chips has fallen short of
booming
demand. A production ramp-up of its top-of-the-line Blackwell
processors has proven to be challenging. Investors are watching
out for commentary on how Nvidia's ( NVDA ) supply chains are powering up
to deliver its sought-after processors.