March 8 (Reuters) - Nvidia ( NVDA ) is nipping at the
heels of Apple ( AAPL ) to become the world's
second-most-valuable company, as investors cannot get enough of
the semiconductor maker whose chips power popular artificial
intelligence tools such as ChatGPT.
An AI-induced jaw-dropping rally in Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares has taken
the company's valuation from $1 trillion to more than $2
trillion in just nine months, overtaking Amazon.com ( AMZN ),
Google-parent Alphabet and Saudi Aramco on
the way.
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) market capitalization currently hovers around $2.38
trillion, lagging Apple ( AAPL ) by just about $230 billion and Microsoft ( MSFT )
by about $645 billion.
The relentless rise in shares of Nvidia ( NVDA ), which controls 80%
of the high-end AI chip market, has been instrumental in pushing
Wall Street to record levels this year, while giving the company
a more than 5% weightage on the benchmark S&P 500 index.
Nvidia ( NVDA ), which is up 95%, and Meta Platforms ( META ), which
is up 46.6% so far this year, have also outperformed shares of
other members of the so-called Magnificient 7, highlighting
investors' insatiable appetite for everything AI.
"Nvidia's ( NVDA ) rally reflects the incredibly strong fundamentals
underlying its current business model," said Richard Meckler,
partner at Cherry Lane Investments, a family investment office
in New Vernon, New Jersey.
"It is also finding strong speculative support as a favorite
among long option buyers who have seen almost a straight upward
climb throughout 2024."
Meanwhile, Apple ( AAPL ), which is grappling with slowing iPhone
sales, ceded its position as the most valuable U.S. company to
Microsoft ( MSFT ) for the first time since 2021 in January.
In recent weeks, Nvidia ( NVDA ) also replaced Tesla as Wall
Street's most traded stock by value.
The stock's 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 36.6
is lower than where it was a year ago despite the stock's strong
run as analysts raised its profit estimates.
By comparison, Intel's PE multiple is 30.24 and that of
Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index is 39.6, LSEG data
showed.
"Nvidia ( NVDA ) is in fact the cheapest of the "AI narrative" stocks
out there," said David Wagner, portfolio manager at Aptus
Capital Advisors.
"We continue to believe that in five years or 10 years we
will all be talking about an industry that is far larger than
the numbers being bandied about today."
However, there are signs Nvidia ( NVDA ) stock is nearing a peak.
Over the next 12 months, Wall Street analysts' median target
price implies Nvidia ( NVDA ) would trade at $850 per share, below the
last closing price of $926, LSEG data showed.
"Of course, it is very difficult for any mega-cap stock's
price to continue to grow at this pace as the law of large
numbers eventually comes into play. But the stock price could
remain at these levels if the company can continue to meet or
exceed the high expectations of analysts," Cherry Lane's Meckler
said.