LONDON, Aug 7 (Reuters) - Novo Nordisk on
Wednesday trimmed its full-year profit outlook after reporting
weaker-than-expected quarterly sales of its popular weight-loss
drug Wegovy, stirring worries among investors about stiffening
competition from Eli Lilly ( LLY ).
Operating profit in the quarter rose 8% at constant exchange
rates to 25.9 billion Danish crowns ($3.8 billion) compared with
the 27.3 billion crowns forecast by analysts in a LSEG poll.
The worse-than-expected second-quarter profit may deepen
investor worries that Novo's first-mover advantage in the
fast-growing obesity drug market is at risk as it races to
expand capacity to meet runaway demand.
Novo's Frankfurt-listed shares fell 3.2% just after
market opening.
The Danish company lowered its forecast for operating profit
growth this year to between 20% and 28% in local currencies,
compared to its previous forecast of 22% to 30%.
The company attributed a decline in gross margin in the
first half in part to costs related to its ongoing manufacturing
capacity expansions.
Sales of Wegovy, Novo's first-to-market weight-loss drug
rose 53% to 11.66 billion crowns, well below the 13.54 billion
crowns expected by analysts in a company-compiled consensus, but
up from sales of 9.4 billion crowns in the first quarter.
Nevertheless, it raised its sales growth outlook for this
year to between 22% and 28% in local currencies, compared to the
previously guided range for 19% to 27% growth.
"We are pleased with the sales growth in the first half of
2024, which has enabled us to raise the outlook for the full
year," CEO Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen said in a statement.
Some analysts forecast the obesity drug market could be
worth about $150 billion by the early 2030s.
Novo ended an advanced kidney disease trial in June, which
resulted in an impairment loss of 5.7 billion Danish crowns
($833.37 million), which the company said impacted operating
profit.
Investors are keen to hear more from Novo - Europe's most
valuable listed company worth about $550 billion - on Wednesday
about when it expects to significantly boost supplies of Wegovy
in the U.S. and end shortages, as rival Lilly swiftly builds
market share.
The company is spending billions of dollars to increase
production of Wegovy to meet runaway demand and fend off Lilly,
which launched its rival therapy Zepbound in the U.S. in
December last year.
Though Novo and Lilly are now going head-to-head with
their obesity treatments in a number of markets including
Britain and Germany, the most lucrative one by far is the U.S.,
where more than 70% of adults are obese or overweight.
The lowest out of five dose strengths of Wegovy is still in
shortage, according to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration
website, which was updated late on Tuesday to show that two more
dose strengths were now available.
On Friday, the FDA updated its website to say Lilly's
Zepbound was available, but the agency did not remove the drug
from its shortage list. It said in a statement it was working
with Lilly to confirm that supplies were stable.
Novo's sales of Ozempic, a diabetes drug with the same
active ingredient as Wegovy albeit in smaller doses, just missed
expectations. They rose 30% to 28.9 billion crowns compared to
the 29.8 billion expected by analysts.
Shares in Novo have risen about 230% since it first launched
Wegovy in the U.S. in June 2021, compared with a 9% rise in the
pan European STOXX 600 index in that time.
However, since the end of June shares have fallen 21%, a
drop analysts link to factors including strong trial data
released in July by Swiss drugmaker Roche for one of its
experimental obesity drugs.
Lilly will release its quarterly numbers on Thursday.
($1 = 6.8397 Danish crowns)