LONDON, July 5 (Reuters) - Comex copper futures surged
on Friday as some players bought back bearish, or short,
positions to reduce their exposure due to expected shipments of
copper failing to arrive in the United States, traders and
analysts said.
A frenzied rally based on speculative buying sent copper
futures on both Comex and the London Metal Exchange (LME) to
record peaks in May, partly due to a short squeeze on Comex.
Since then copper prices have slid, partly due to
expectations that shipments of material would arrive in the
United States allowing the cover of exposed short positions.
Short positions can be bets on lower prices or producers
hedging their output. A short squeeze occurs when parties
holding such positions are forced to buy them back at a loss or
deliver physical copper to close them out.
"Some participants cannot stomach the volatility and there
is certainly some panic covering to avoid the moves we saw last
time around," a trader said.
"But if anything the situation could potentially be more
volatile due to the lack of usual participants."
The Comex buying has led to a wide spread or arbitrage
between prices on the two exchanges, with the Comex premium
doubling to more than $300 a metric ton over the past two days.
August futures on Comex on Friday climbed to a
five-week high of $4.6965 a pound or $10,354 a metric ton and
was up 2.5% at 1500 GMT. The market hit a record of $5.1015 a
pound on May 21.
That compares to an intraday peak of LME three month copper
of $10,000 and a gain of 0.7%.
"Inventory that was supposed to come to the U.S. clearly
hasn't arrived," said Dan Smith, head of research at Amalgamated
Metal Trading.
It was unclear what was causing the delay in shipments to
the United States.
The lack of shipments is evident in copper inventories in
CME warehouses, which have tumbled 71% since late March to 8,947
tons, the lowest since 2008, data shows.
"People have already been burned on this once, so they're
much more cautious now, but we're all a bit nervous it's going
to blow out again," Smith added.
During the May short squeeze commodity traders Trafigura and
IXM were looking to buy physical copper to deliver against large
short positions, but it was unclear which participants were
covering positions at the moment.
Comex is owned by the CME Group ( CME ) while the LME is
owned by owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd ( HKXCF )
.