July 29 (Reuters) - Four pharmaceutical companies
involved in the first U.S. negotiations over prices for the
Medicare program said they do not expect a significant impact on
their businesses after seeing confidential suggested prices from
the government for their drugs that will take effect in 2026.
Top executives from Bristol Myers Squibb ( BMY ), Johnson &
Johnson ( JNJ ), AbbVie ( ABBV ) and AstraZeneca ( AZN ), which
have five of the 10 drugs chosen for the first wave of
negotiations, described their newly informed views on quarterly
conference calls.
The U.S. Medicare health program spends billions of dollars
annually on drugs for 66 million people ages 65 and older or who
have disabilities. It is expected to announce 2026 cuts to list
prices of at least 25% by Sept. 1.
"I think the drugmakers were frightened (these prices) would
be a big deal. But now, the ones who have reported or commented
have actually said it seems to be OK and in line with
expectations," UBS analyst Trung Huynh said in an interview.
Under President Joe Biden's Inflation Reduction Act, signed
into law in 2022, the Medicare agency was required to identify
the 100 most expensive drugs in the program and pick 10 for
price negotiations that began last year.
Bristol Myers CEO Chris Boerner on Friday said the company
was increasingly confident it could navigate the IRA's impact on
the blockbuster blood thinner Eliquis it shares with Pfizer ( PFE )
, having seen the government price.
Still Boerner, along with AbbVie's ( ABBV ) CEO, reiterated industry
concerns that the government was "price setting" under the
program and that the practice would harm innovation.
Two analysts said they expected the government program to
reduce the list prices of these drugs by between 50% and 60%
based on drugmakers' comments.
It is common for drugmakers to provide discounts off the
list price based on sales volume, but those discounts are not
public.
Several drugmakers as well as industry lobbying groups PhRMA
and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce filed lawsuits to stop the
prices from going into effect, which have largely failed.
"As expected, price setting has been a flawed and political
process," said Nicole Longo, spokeswoman for PhRMA.
She said the program has operated without making clear how
it incorporates feedback from patients, providers, and
manufacturers into the price, accusing it of putting government
cuts ahead of patients.
AbbVie ( ABBV ) CEO Robert Michael said last week the company has
included the expected sales hit to its blockbuster leukemia drug
Imbruvica in its forecasts.
"We've come out and said that even with modeling that impact
in, that we still expect to deliver on our long-term outlook,"
Michael said.
J&J executive Jennifer Taubert said the company's long-term
growth forecast "still looks very good to us today," after
seeing the discounts suggested by the government for its
top-selling psoriasis drug Stelara and blood thinner Xarelto,
which are among the first 10 chosen for negotiations.
J.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott said in a note that
comments by Bristol and J&J suggest they received more
reasonable price cuts than initially feared.
The Centers for Medicaid and Medicare Services, which runs
the program, did not respond to a request for comment.
An AstraZeneca ( AZN ) executive last week said the company expected
a limited impact because its diabetes drug Farxiga will face
competition from cheaper generic drugs around three months after
the new price takes effect in 2026.
At least five of the other drugs on the initial government
list, including Merck & Co's ( MRK ) diabetes drug Januvia and
Amgen's ( AMGN ) rheumatoid arthritis treatment Enbrel, are
expected to face generic competition by 2029, according to
Guggenheim Partners analyst Vamil Divan.