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Shares of Canada uranium miners rallied in recent weeks
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Russia restricts uranium supply to US
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Cameco ( CCJ ) hopes for unencumbered trade between Canada and US
By Divya Rajagopal
Toronto, Nov 28 (Reuters) - Canada's uranium miners,
confident that only they can meet U.S. demand for the element
after Russian supply curbs, have accelerated output and forward
contracts to supply U.S energy companies, but they are now
worried about possible tariffs from U.S. President-elect Donald
Trump.
Shares of uranium companies rallied in Toronto and New York
over the last two weeks on news that Russia was planning to
restrict the sale of enriched uranium to the U.S.
This week, Trump threatened to slap a 25% tariff on all
goods from Canada and Mexico. This could inflate prices of the
radioactive material unless uranium receives exemptions.
Canada is the world's No. 2 producer of uranium after
Russia. About 85% of its production is exported. Companies say
the commodity is in acute shortage.
Vancouver-based uranium exploration company NexGen Energy ( NXE ) is
still at least four years away from producing in Canada. Company
officials told Reuters they were in advanced discussions about
possible off-take agreements with U.S. utility companies that
are gearing up to produce more nuclear power to meet growing
electricity demand.
"We've never been busier on that front, and it has
dramatically picked up after the Russian announcement and I
would say that the utilities are very keen to see a new Canadian
uranium miner to diversify the risk," said Travis McPherson,
Chief Commercial Officer.
Jason Barnard, CEO of Foremost Clean Energy, a uranium
exploration company, said further upward pressure on uranium
prices was inevitable, adding the U.S. may not be ready for the
inflationary impact.
McPherson said Canada and NextGen in particular are in a
good position to negotiate any tariff proposals.
"Given the dire need of US nuclear reactors for uranium that
powers nearly 20% of their power demand combined with the fact
they must rely heavily on imports, Canada (and NexGen in
particular) is in a strong position to leverage this reality in
any potential negotiations/discussions."
"The potential tariffs on Canada demonstrate the need for
Canada to have indispensable goods that the U.S. industry needs
and cannot get elsewhere or domestically. Uranium is one of
those very unique goods," he said.
The U.S. imports a quarter of its uranium from Russia and
the rest mainly from Canada followed by Kazakhstan, though it
has some domestic production.
Russia said on Nov. 15 it had imposed restrictions on the
export of enriched uranium to the U.S., in response to
Washington's ban on imports of Russian pre-enriched uranium.
President Joe Biden's administration had offered waivers
allowing for shipments to continue through 2027.
This month US nuclear fuel supplier Centrus Energy ( LEU ) announced
that its main Russian supplier had canceled exports to the
company, adding this loss of Russian supply would affect the
company's ability to meet delivery obligations.
Bids for uranium November 2025 delivery jumped from $4 to
$84 a pound after Russia announced its restrictions, market
research firm and consultancy UxC said.
Canadian miner Cameco ( CCJ ), one of the world's biggest publicly
listed uranium miners, told Reuters it hopes there is
"unencumbered" trade in nuclear goods and services between
Canada and the U.S. as the country needs a secure western supply
of uranium fuel to address its increasing electricity demands.
"The announcement from Russia highlights what we have been
saying for some time, that the cumulative risks to the supply of
nuclear fuel are significant and that to break the dependence on
Russia and other state-owned enterprises, coordinated western
responses are required ensuring an industry-led, government
enabled secure western fuel supply."