BERLIN, June 6 (Reuters) - Advisers and investors
congregated at the annual SuperReturn conference in Berlin this
week as a still struggling private equity market cast a shadow
over the meeting for a second year, although there were flashes
of optimism among the attendees.
At a long row of streetside alpine huts where an overflow of
the globe's top deal brokers conversed, some talked of
resilience in the face of adversity as higher borrowing costs
continued to put the brakes on the private equity industry.
Attendees complained about a lack of deals, with gaps in
valuations between buyers and sellers persisting. One lawyer,
who declined to be named, said there was a "survive to 25"
mindset among some private equity clients, who hope deal-making
might recover next year.
"Probably the biggest challenge we face is the geopolitical
uncertainty and the resulting volatility and reduced
visibility," said Daniel Pindur, managing partner at CVC
in an interview ahead of the conference. "We are
optimistic, while resilience and the ability to adapt remain
essential criteria."
The conference, mainly held behind the chessboard facade of
the InterContinental Hotel with an expected 5,000-plus
attendance, takes place as buyout funds sit on an ever growing
mountain of assets to sell amid a collapse in fundraising.
This year saw the slowest start for private equity deal
making since 2020, with the smallest number of transactions year
to date across Europe, Middle East and Africa, according to
Dealogic.
Still, deal values have crept up to $101 billion, compared
to just $68 billion at the same point in 2023 but still less
than half at this time in the peak years of 2021 and 2022.
Global buyout-backed exits fell 44% to $345 billion last
year from 2022 and globally the value of ageing, un-exited
companies hit a record high of $3.2 trillion, according to
consultancy Bain & Company. There was also a 38% drop in funds
closed to 449 in 2023 versus 2022.
Speakers at the conference, which is covering issues such as
the rise and use of artificial intelligence and the pressure on
private equity to deploy its cash, include some of the
industry's biggest asset managers such as Carlyle and
Apollo.
"Within private markets green shoots are appearing, for
example in infrastructure, which is being recognised for its
defensive attributes," said EQT partner Asis Echaniz,
while conceding that any upturn in mood was far from across the
board.
While companies have taken advantage of subdued private
equity activity to seize cheaper rivals, with relatively lower
valuations in regions like the UK, investors believe they can
find profitable opportunities.
Mark Danzey, head of capital Markets and institutional
client solutions in Europe at KKR & Co ( KKR ), said he sees a
healthy pipeline of M&A activity including corporate carve outs
as well as public to private deals involving companies that are
not being rewarded by markets.
Investors also pointed to opportunities in the energy
transition and decarbonisation of the economy, and the roll out
of digital infrastructure.
"The market for high quality businesses with proven
management teams and track records is very active," said Max
Fowinkel, managing director at Warburg Pincus.
The gap in valuations bestowed by buyers and sellers may
bedevil some deals but it is significantly smaller in the case
of "high quality companies with a great management team and a
strong financial profile", said Florian Kreuzer, head of the
German-speaking region at buyout group Permira.
Pressure remains on private equity to invest funds raised
and one investor, speaking on condition of anonymity, said
executives are working away at "quality" deals, putting in more
time to build relationships that might facilitate a successful
completion.