DUBLIN, Jan 13 (Reuters) - Air passengers numbers are
projected to more than double by 2050, boosting fuel demand and
undermining the aviation industry's efforts to cut emissions, a
study by climate advocacy group Transport and Environment
suggested on Monday.
As industry leaders meet at an annual finance conference
this week in Dublin where many plane sales are expected, the
Brussels-based group urged the European Union to take steps to
rein in the sector's growth.
"It's time to come back down to earth and put an end to this
addiction to growth," Jo Dardenne, the group's aviation
director, told Reuters.
Steps to tame fast-growing air travel could include limiting
airport infrastructure growth and corporate travel while
increasing taxation, the report said.
The airline industry, which generates about 2.5% of global
carbon emissions, has vowed to use more sustainable aviation
fuel (SAF) in a bid to reduce emissions and reach net zero by
2050.
But scant supply and prices up to five times higher than
traditional jet fuel mean little of the greener fuel is used.
Monday's report said industry fuel use was forecast to rise
59% by 2050 from 2019 levels as passenger numbers increase.
With plane makers Airbus and Boeing ( BA )
projecting high growth in coming years and more planes in the
sky, emissions are set to increase, despite more efficient jets
and use of SAF.
"The more they grow, the further away they move from it,"
said Dardenne. "At this rate, they will still be burning two
billion barrels of oil per year in 2050, despite using SAF."
Airbus and Boeing ( BA ) did not respond to a Reuters request
for comment.
The industry has repeatedly rebuffed calls to curtail
growth, saying the sector is essential to economic development
and global connectivity.
"Instead of speculative and selective projections decades
into the future, the focus should be on implementing tangible
solutions today," a spokesperson for trade body Airlines for
Europe told Reuters in response to the report.
Such solutions would lower the impact of aviation and
preserve benefits, the spokesperson added.